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模拟博斯普鲁斯海峡的溢油轨迹以制定应急预案。

Modeling oil spill trajectory in Bosphorus for contingency planning.

机构信息

Istanbul Technical University, Faculty of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Department of Ocean Engineering, 34469 Maslak, Istanbul, Turkey.

出版信息

Mar Pollut Bull. 2017 Oct 15;123(1-2):57-72. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2017.09.029. Epub 2017 Sep 19.

DOI:10.1016/j.marpolbul.2017.09.029
PMID:28935362
Abstract

Bosphorus, is a strongly driven international maritime route between the Black Sea and the Sea of Marmara and is a high risk area for oil spill due to the heavy tanker traffic. In this study an oil spill trajectory model was developed for investigating the potential risks of accidental oil spills in Bosphorus. The proposed oil spill trajectory model combines the surface current velocity data obtained from a calibrated hydrodynamic model with the advection, spreading, and evaporation processes that are effective only on the sea surface and dominant for a couple of hours after the oil spill. Model simulations revealed that spilled oil reaches the shoreline on both sides of Bosphorus in <4h following the spill. We proposed locations for emergency intervention stations in Bosphorus which can be used to devise a suitable oil spill contingency plan to keep the adverse impacts of oil spills at minimum.

摘要

博斯普鲁斯海峡是黑海和马尔马拉海之间一条强大驱动的国际海上航线,由于油轮交通繁忙,是溢油事故的高风险区域。在这项研究中,我们开发了一个溢油轨迹模型,用于调查博斯普鲁斯海峡意外溢油的潜在风险。所提出的溢油轨迹模型将从校准水动力模型获得的表面海流速度数据与仅在海面有效且在溢油后几个小时内占主导地位的平流、扩散和蒸发过程相结合。模型模拟结果表明,溢油在溢油后 4 小时内到达博斯普鲁斯海峡两岸的海岸线。我们在博斯普鲁斯海峡提出了紧急干预站的位置,可以用来制定适当的溢油应急计划,将溢油的不利影响降至最低。

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