Zingmark Magnus, Nilsson Ingeborg, Norström Fredrik, Sahlén Klas Göran, Lindholm Lars
Division of Occupational Therapy, Department of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Graduate School in Population Dynamics and Public Policy, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Eur J Ageing. 2016 Nov 28;14(3):233-241. doi: 10.1007/s10433-016-0404-1. eCollection 2017 Sep.
The onset of bathing disability among older people is critical for a decline in functioning and has implications for both the individuals' quality of life and societal costs. The aim of this study was to evaluate long-term cost effectiveness of an intervention targeting bathing disability among older people. For hypothetical cohorts of community-dwelling older people with bathing disability, transitions between states of dependency and death were modelled over 8 years including societal costs. A five-state Markov model based on states of dependency was used to evaluate Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs from a societal perspective. An intervention group was compared with a no intervention control group. The intervention focused on promoting safe and independent performance of bathing-related tasks. The intervention effect, based on previously published trials, was applied in the model as a 1.4 increased probability of recovery during the first year. Over the full follow-up period, the intervention resulted in QALY gains and reduced societal cost. After 8 years, the intervention resulted in 0.052 QALYs gained and reduced societal costs by €2410 per person. In comparison to the intervention cost, the intervention effect was a more important factor for the magnitude of QALY gains and long-term societal costs. The intervention cost had only minor impact on societal costs. The conclusion was that an intervention targeting bathing disability among older people presents a cost-effective use of resources and leads to both QALY gains and reduced societal costs over 8 years.
老年人洗澡能力丧失对于其身体机能衰退至关重要,并且对个人生活质量和社会成本都有影响。本研究的目的是评估针对老年人洗澡能力丧失的一项干预措施的长期成本效益。对于假设的有洗澡能力丧失的社区居住老年人队列,在8年时间里对依赖状态和死亡状态之间的转变进行建模,包括社会成本。基于依赖状态的五状态马尔可夫模型用于从社会角度评估质量调整生命年(QALYs)和成本。将一个干预组与一个无干预对照组进行比较。干预措施侧重于促进与洗澡相关任务的安全和独立完成。基于先前发表的试验的干预效果,在模型中作为第一年康复概率提高1.4倍应用。在整个随访期内,干预措施带来了QALY增加和社会成本降低。8年后,干预措施带来了0.052个QALY增加,每人社会成本降低2410欧元。与干预成本相比,干预效果对于QALY增加幅度和长期社会成本来说是一个更重要的因素。干预成本对社会成本只有轻微影响。结论是,针对老年人洗澡能力丧失的干预措施是一种具有成本效益的资源利用方式,并且在8年时间里既能带来QALY增加,又能降低社会成本。