Kim Ok-Jin, Kim Sun-Young, Kim Ho
Department of Public Health Science, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.
Department of Cancer Control and Population Health, Graduate School of Cancer Science and Policy, National Cancer Center, Goyang 10408, Korea.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2017 Sep 23;14(10):1103. doi: 10.3390/ijerph14101103.
Increasing numbers of cohort studies have reported that long-term exposure to ambient particulate matter is associated with mortality. However, there has been little evidence from Asian countries. We aimed to explore the association between long-term exposure to particulate matter with a diameter ≤10 µm (PM) and mortality in South Korea, using a nationwide population-based cohort and an improved exposure assessment (EA) incorporating time-varying concentrations and residential addresses (EA1). We also compared the association across different EA approaches. We used information from 275,337 people who underwent health screening from 2002 to 2006 and who had follow-up data for 12 years in the National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort. Individual exposures were computed as 5-year averages using predicted residential district-specific annual-average PM concentrations for 2002-2006. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of non-accidental and five cause-specific mortalities per 10 µg/m³ increase in PM using the Cox proportional hazards model. Then, we compared the association of EA1 with three other approaches based on time-varying concentrations and/or addresses: predictions in each year and addresses at baseline (EA2); predictions at baseline and addresses in each year (EA3); and predictions and addresses at baseline (EA4). We found a marginal association between long-term PM and non-accidental mortality. The HRs of five cause-specific mortalities were mostly higher than that of non-accidental mortality, but statistically insignificant. In the comparison between EA approaches, the HRs of EA1 were similar to those of EA2 but higher than EA3 and EA4. Our findings confirmed the association between long-term exposure to PM and mortality based on a population-representative cohort in South Korea, and suggested the importance of assessing individual exposure incorporating air pollution changes over time.
越来越多的队列研究报告称,长期暴露于环境颗粒物与死亡率相关。然而,亚洲国家的相关证据很少。我们旨在利用全国性的基于人群的队列以及纳入随时间变化的浓度和居住地址的改进暴露评估(EA1),探讨韩国长期暴露于直径≤10微米的颗粒物(PM)与死亡率之间的关联。我们还比较了不同暴露评估方法之间的关联。我们使用了2002年至2006年接受健康筛查且在国民健康保险服务 - 全国样本队列中有12年随访数据的275337人的信息。使用2002 - 2006年预测的特定居住区年平均PM浓度,将个体暴露计算为5年平均值。我们使用Cox比例风险模型估计每立方米空气中PM每增加10微克时非意外和五种特定原因死亡率的风险比(HRs)。然后,我们将EA1与基于随时间变化的浓度和/或地址的其他三种方法进行比较:每年的预测和基线地址(EA2);基线的预测和每年的地址(EA3);以及基线的预测和地址(EA4)。我们发现长期PM与非意外死亡率之间存在微弱关联。五种特定原因死亡率的HRs大多高于非意外死亡率,但无统计学意义。在暴露评估方法的比较中,EA1的HRs与EA2相似,但高于EA3和EA4。我们的研究结果证实了基于韩国具有人群代表性的队列中,长期暴露于PM与死亡率之间的关联,并表明了评估纳入随时间变化的空气污染的个体暴露的重要性。