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跨境传输的全球空气污染和国际贸易对健康的影响。

Transboundary health impacts of transported global air pollution and international trade.

机构信息

Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.

State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.

出版信息

Nature. 2017 Mar 29;543(7647):705-709. doi: 10.1038/nature21712.

Abstract

Millions of people die every year from diseases caused by exposure to outdoor air pollution. Some studies have estimated premature mortality related to local sources of air pollution, but local air quality can also be affected by atmospheric transport of pollution from distant sources. International trade is contributing to the globalization of emission and pollution as a result of the production of goods (and their associated emissions) in one region for consumption in another region. The effects of international trade on air pollutant emissions, air quality and health have been investigated regionally, but a combined, global assessment of the health impacts related to international trade and the transport of atmospheric air pollution is lacking. Here we combine four global models to estimate premature mortality caused by fine particulate matter (PM) pollution as a result of atmospheric transport and the production and consumption of goods and services in different world regions. We find that, of the 3.45 million premature deaths related to PM pollution in 2007 worldwide, about 12 per cent (411,100 deaths) were related to air pollutants emitted in a region of the world other than that in which the death occurred, and about 22 per cent (762,400 deaths) were associated with goods and services produced in one region for consumption in another. For example, PM pollution produced in China in 2007 is linked to more than 64,800 premature deaths in regions other than China, including more than 3,100 premature deaths in western Europe and the USA; on the other hand, consumption in western Europe and the USA is linked to more than 108,600 premature deaths in China. Our results reveal that the transboundary health impacts of PM pollution associated with international trade are greater than those associated with long-distance atmospheric pollutant transport.

摘要

每年都有数百万人因接触室外空气污染而死于疾病。一些研究估计了与当地空气污染源有关的过早死亡率,但当地空气质量也可能受到来自遥远污染源的大气污染物传输的影响。国际贸易导致排放和污染全球化,因为商品(及其相关排放物)在一个地区生产,而在另一个地区消费。国际贸易对空气污染物排放、空气质量和健康的影响已经在区域范围内进行了研究,但缺乏对与国际贸易和大气空气污染传输有关的健康影响的综合、全球评估。在这里,我们结合了四个全球模型来估计因大气传输以及不同世界区域的商品和服务生产和消费而导致的细颗粒物 (PM) 污染引起的过早死亡人数。我们发现,在 2007 年全球因 PM 污染导致的 345 万例过早死亡中,约有 12%(411100 例死亡)与发生死亡的世界其他地区排放的空气污染物有关,约有 22%(762400 例死亡)与在一个地区生产供另一个地区消费的商品和服务有关。例如,2007 年中国产生的 PM 污染与中国以外地区的 64800 多例过早死亡有关,其中包括西欧和美国的 3100 多例过早死亡;另一方面,西欧和美国的消费与中国的 108600 多例过早死亡有关。我们的研究结果表明,与国际贸易相关的 PM 污染的跨境健康影响大于与远距离大气污染物传输相关的健康影响。

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