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当协变量存在测量误差和检测限时用于二元结局的广义线性混合模型。

Generalized linear mixed model for binary outcomes when covariates are subject to measurement errors and detection limits.

作者信息

Xie Xianhong, Xue Xiaonan, Strickler Howard D

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, 10461, USA.

出版信息

Stat Med. 2018 Jan 15;37(1):119-136. doi: 10.1002/sim.7509. Epub 2017 Oct 5.

Abstract

Longitudinal measurement of biomarkers is important in determining risk factors for binary endpoints such as infection or disease. However, biomarkers are subject to measurement error, and some are also subject to left-censoring due to a lower limit of detection. Statistical methods to address these issues are few. We herein propose a generalized linear mixed model and estimate the model parameters using the Monte Carlo Newton-Raphson (MCNR) method. Inferences regarding the parameters are made by applying Louis's method and the delta method. Simulation studies were conducted to compare the proposed MCNR method with existing methods including the maximum likelihood (ML) method and the ad hoc approach of replacing the left-censored values with half of the detection limit (HDL). The results showed that the performance of the MCNR method is superior to ML and HDL with respect to the empirical standard error, as well as the coverage probability for the 95% confidence interval. The HDL method uses an incorrect imputation method, and the computation is constrained by the number of quadrature points; while the ML method also suffers from the constrain for the number of quadrature points, the MCNR method does not have this limitation and approximates the likelihood function better than the other methods. The improvement of the MCNR method is further illustrated with real-world data from a longitudinal study of local cervicovaginal HIV viral load and its effects on oncogenic HPV detection in HIV-positive women.

摘要

生物标志物的纵向测量对于确定诸如感染或疾病等二元终点的风险因素非常重要。然而,生物标志物存在测量误差,并且由于检测下限的原因,一些生物标志物还会受到左删失的影响。解决这些问题的统计方法很少。我们在此提出一种广义线性混合模型,并使用蒙特卡罗牛顿-拉夫森(MCNR)方法估计模型参数。通过应用路易斯方法和德尔塔方法对参数进行推断。进行了模拟研究,以将所提出的MCNR方法与现有方法进行比较,包括最大似然(ML)方法和用检测限的一半(HDL)替换左删失值的临时方法。结果表明,在经验标准误差以及95%置信区间的覆盖概率方面,MCNR方法的性能优于ML和HDL。HDL方法使用了不正确的插补方法,并且计算受到求积点数的限制;而ML方法也受到求积点数的限制,MCNR方法没有这个限制,并且比其他方法更好地逼近似然函数。通过对HIV阳性女性局部宫颈阴道HIV病毒载量及其对致癌性HPV检测影响的纵向研究的实际数据,进一步说明了MCNR方法的改进。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d988/5720942/4c59eef1da67/nihms904401f1.jpg

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