Departments of1Neurosurgery and.
2Neurology, Clinical Neurosciences Center, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah; and.
J Neurosurg. 2018 Jul;129(1):100-106. doi: 10.3171/2017.4.JNS17548. Epub 2017 Oct 6.
OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study was to compare the unruptured intracranial aneurysm treatment score (UIATS) recommendations with the real-world experience in a quaternary academic medical center with a high volume of patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs). METHODS All patients with UIAs evaluated during a 3-year period were included. All factors included in the UIATS were abstracted, and patients were scored using the UIATS. Patients were categorized in a contingency table assessing UIATS recommendation versus real-world treatment decision. The authors calculated the percentage of misclassification, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS A total of 221 consecutive patients with UIAs met the inclusion criteria: 69 (31%) patients underwent treatment and 152 (69%) did not. Fifty-nine (27%) patients had a UIATS between -2 and 2, which does not offer a treatment recommendation, leaving 162 (73%) patients with a UIATS treatment recommendation. The UIATS was significantly associated with treatment (p < 0.001); however, the sensitivity, specificity, and percentage of misclassification were 49%, 80%, and 28%, respectively. Notably, 51% of patients for whom treatment would be recommended by the UIATS did not undergo treatment in the real-world cohort and 20% of patients for whom conservative management would be recommended by UIATS had intervention. The area under the ROC curve was 0.646. CONCLUSIONS Compared with the authors' experience, the UIATS recommended overtreatment of UIAs. Although the UIATS could be used as a screening tool, individualized treatment recommendations based on consultation with a cerebrovascular specialist are necessary. Further validation with longitudinal data on rupture rates of UIAs is needed before widespread use.
目的 本研究旨在比较未破裂颅内动脉瘤治疗评分(UIATS)建议与四级学术医疗中心的真实世界经验,该中心有大量未破裂颅内动脉瘤(UIAs)患者。
方法 纳入了在 3 年内评估的所有 UIAs 患者。提取了 UIATS 中包含的所有因素,并使用 UIATS 对患者进行评分。患者按评估 UIATS 推荐与真实世界治疗决策的列联表进行分类。作者计算了分类错误率、敏感性、特异性和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积。
结果 共纳入 221 例连续 UIAs 患者,符合纳入标准:69 例(31%)接受治疗,152 例(69%)未接受治疗。59 例(27%)患者的 UIATS 为-2 至 2,不推荐治疗,留下 162 例(73%)患者的 UIATS 有治疗推荐。UIATS 与治疗显著相关(p<0.001);然而,敏感性、特异性和分类错误率分别为 49%、80%和 28%。值得注意的是,51%的患者根据 UIATS 推荐需要治疗,但在真实世界队列中未进行治疗,20%的患者根据 UIATS 推荐保守治疗但进行了干预。ROC 曲线下面积为 0.646。
结论 与作者的经验相比,UIATS 推荐对 UIAs 进行过度治疗。尽管 UIATS 可用作筛查工具,但需要基于与脑血管病专家咨询的个体化治疗建议。在广泛使用之前,需要使用 UIAs 破裂率的纵向数据进行进一步验证。