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“可证伪性并非可选”:对 LeBel 等人(2017)的勘误。

"Falsifiability is not optional": Correction to LeBel et al. (2017).

出版信息

J Pers Soc Psychol. 2017 Nov;113(5):696. doi: 10.1037/pspi0000117.

DOI:10.1037/pspi0000117
PMID:29016165
Abstract

Reports an error in "Falsifiability is not optional" by Etienne P. LeBel, Derek Berger, Lorne Campbell and Timothy J. Loving (, 2017[Aug], Vol 113[2], 254-261). In the reply, there were two errors in the References list. The publishing year for the 14th and 21st articles was cited incorrectly as 2016. The in-text acronym associated with these citations should read instead as FER2017 and LCL2017. The correct References list citations should read as follows, respectively: Finkel, E. J., Eastwick, P. W., & Reis, H. T. (2017). Replicability and other features of a high-quality science: Toward a balanced and empirical approach. , 113, 244-253. http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/pspi0000075 LeBel, E. P., Campbell, L., & Loving, T. J. (2017). Benefits of open and high-powered research outweigh costs. , 113, 230-243. http://dx.doi.org/10 .1037/pspi0000049. The online version of this article has been corrected. (The following abstract of the original article appeared in record 2017-30567-003.) Finkel, Eastwick, and Reis (2016; FER2016) argued the post-2011 methodological reform movement has focused narrowly on replicability, neglecting other essential goals of research. We agree multiple scientific goals are essential, but argue, however, a more fine-grained language, conceptualization, and approach to replication is needed to accomplish these goals. Replication is the general empirical mechanism for testing and falsifying theory. Sufficiently methodologically similar replications, also known as direct replications, test the basic existence of phenomena and ensure cumulative progress is possible a priori. In contrast, increasingly methodologically dissimilar replications, also known as conceptual replications, test the relevance of auxiliary hypotheses (e.g., manipulation and measurement issues, contextual factors) required to productively investigate validity and generalizability. Without prioritizing replicability, a field is not empirically falsifiable. We also disagree with FER2016's position that "bigger samples are generally better, but . . . that very large samples could have the downside of commandeering resources that would have been better invested in other studies" (abstract). We identify problematic assumptions involved in FER2016's modifications of our original research-economic model, and present an improved model that quantifies when (and whether) it is reasonable to worry that increasing statistical power will engender potential trade-offs. Sufficiently powering studies (i.e., >80%) maximizes both research efficiency and confidence in the literature (research quality). Given that we are in agreement with FER2016 on all key open science points, we are eager to start seeing the accelerated rate of cumulative knowledge development of social psychological phenomena such a sufficiently transparent, powered, and falsifiable approach will generate. (PsycINFO Database Record

摘要

报告了 Etienne P. LeBel、Derek Berger、Lorne Campbell 和 Timothy J. Loving 的“可证伪性并非可选”(,2017[8 月],第 113[2]卷,第 254-261 页)中的错误。在回复中,参考文献列表中有两个错误。第 14 条和第 21 条参考文献的出版年份被错误地引用为 2016 年。这些引文的内文本缩写应改为 FER2017 和 LCL2017。正确的参考文献列表引文分别为:Finkel, E. J., Eastwick, P. W., & Reis, H. T. (2017). Replicability and other features of a high-quality science: Toward a balanced and empirical approach., 113, 244-253. http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/pspi0000075 LeBel, E. P., Campbell, L., & Loving, T. J. (2017). Benefits of open and high-powered research outweigh costs., 113, 230-243. http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/pspi0000049. 文章的在线版本已更正。(原始文章的以下摘要出现在记录 2017-30567-003 中。)Finkel、Eastwick 和 Reis(2016;FER2016)认为,2011 年后的方法论改革运动过于狭隘地关注可重复性,而忽略了研究的其他重要目标。我们同意多个科学目标是必不可少的,但我们认为,需要更精细的语言、概念化和复制方法来实现这些目标。复制是检验和证伪理论的一般经验机制。足够方法相似的复制,也称为直接复制,检验现象的基本存在,并确保累积进展在事先是可能的。相比之下,越来越方法不同的复制,也称为概念复制,检验辅助假设(例如,操作和测量问题、上下文因素)的相关性,这些假设对于有成效地调查有效性和普遍性是必需的。没有优先考虑可重复性,一个领域就没有经验可证伪。我们也不同意 FER2016 的立场,即“更大的样本通常更好,但... 非常大的样本可能会带来负面影响,即征用本来可以更好地投资于其他研究的资源”(摘要)。我们确定了 FER2016 对我们原始研究经济模型的修改中涉及的有问题的假设,并提出了一个改进的模型,该模型量化了何时(以及是否)有合理的理由担心增加统计能力会产生潜在的权衡。充分的研究动力(即>80%)可以使研究效率和对文献(研究质量)的信心最大化。鉴于我们在所有关键的开放科学问题上都与 FER2016 达成一致,我们渴望看到这种足够透明、有力和可证伪的方法加速社会心理现象的累积知识发展。(PsycINFO 数据库记录

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