Xu Wei, Jiang Bo, Yin Xinmin
Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, Changsha, China.
Patient Prefer Adherence. 2017 Oct 4;11:1711-1721. doi: 10.2147/PPA.S139938. eCollection 2017.
Pancreatic body and tail adenocarcinoma (PBTA) remains one of the deadliest cancers, and current radiological modalities still have limitations on the staging of PBTA. Improving PBTA staging will contribute to the management of this disease.
Clinicopathological characteristics of 91 surgically treated PBTA patients were retrospectively retrieved. Clinical data associated with postoperative tumor staging (pTNM) were assessed using ordinal logistic regression model. Discriminant analysis was performed using function formula based on multivariate analysis results; further cross-validation was conducted by Bootstrap methods.
Multivariate analysis showed that carbohydrate antigen 19-9 ≥955.0 U/L, albumin, and alkaline phosphatase/total bilirubin ratio were independent factors contributing to improved accuracy of pTNM staging. Discriminant analysis exhibited better performance and showed that the probability of accurate prediction of pTNM stage was 90.6% and the probability of cross-validation was 85.9%. After excluding patients with preoperative diagnosis of stage IV disease, the probability of accurate prediction of pTNM stage was 86.1% and the probability of cross-validation was 75.0%.
The combination of imaging and clinical data has higher accuracy in staging PBTA than radiological data alone. A model proposed in this study will improve the management of PBTA.
胰体尾腺癌(PBTA)仍然是最致命的癌症之一,目前的放射学检查方法在PBTA分期方面仍存在局限性。改善PBTA分期将有助于该疾病的管理。
回顾性收集91例接受手术治疗的PBTA患者的临床病理特征。使用有序逻辑回归模型评估与术后肿瘤分期(pTNM)相关的临床数据。基于多变量分析结果,使用函数公式进行判别分析;通过Bootstrap方法进行进一步的交叉验证。
多变量分析显示,糖类抗原19-9≥955.0 U/L、白蛋白以及碱性磷酸酶/总胆红素比值是有助于提高pTNM分期准确性的独立因素。判别分析表现出更好的性能,显示pTNM分期准确预测的概率为90.6%,交叉验证的概率为85.9%。排除术前诊断为IV期疾病的患者后,pTNM分期准确预测的概率为86.1%,交叉验证的概率为75.0%。
影像学和临床数据相结合在PBTA分期中的准确性高于单独的放射学数据。本研究提出的模型将改善PBTA的管理。