Mäkelä Jyrki Tapani, Klintrup Kai Hans, Rautio Tero Tapani
Department of Surgery, Surgical Research Unit, Medical Research Center, Oulu University Hospital, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.
Gastrointest Tumors. 2017 Sep;4(1-2):36-44. doi: 10.1159/000477721. Epub 2017 Jun 29.
The purpose of this study was to identify the clinical factors and tumor characteristics that predict the outcome of colorectal cancer patients aged >80 years.
The data of 186 patients aged >80 years with colorectal cancer were collected from a computer database, and the variables were analyzed by both uni- and multivariate analyses.
The 30-day mortality was 4% and the 90-day mortality 10%. The 1-year survival was 76%, and 27 (61%) of the 44 deaths were unrelated to cancer. The overall 5-year survival was 36%, the median survival 38 months, and the cancer-specific survival 40%. The recurrence rate after radical surgery was 22% and it was not affected by age. Kaplan-Meier estimates indicated that age, number of underlying diseases, radical operation, Union for International Cancer Control stage of the tumor, tumor size, number of lymph nodes involved, venous invasion, and recurrent disease were significant predictors of survival, but in the Cox regression model, only radical operation and venous invasion were independent prognostic factors for survival.
After good surgical selection, low early mortality and acceptable long-term survival can be achieved even in the oldest old patients with colorectal cancer. However, low early mortality seems to underestimate the effects of surgery during the first postoperative year.
本研究旨在确定预测80岁以上结直肠癌患者预后的临床因素和肿瘤特征。
从计算机数据库中收集186例80岁以上结直肠癌患者的数据,并对变量进行单因素和多因素分析。
30天死亡率为4%,90天死亡率为10%。1年生存率为76%,44例死亡中有27例(61%)与癌症无关。总体5年生存率为36%,中位生存期为38个月,癌症特异性生存率为40%。根治性手术后的复发率为22%,且不受年龄影响。Kaplan-Meier估计表明,年龄、基础疾病数量、根治性手术、国际癌症控制联盟肿瘤分期、肿瘤大小、受累淋巴结数量、静脉侵犯和复发性疾病是生存的重要预测因素,但在Cox回归模型中,只有根治性手术和静脉侵犯是生存的独立预后因素。
经过良好的手术选择,即使是年龄最大的老年结直肠癌患者也能实现较低的早期死亡率和可接受的长期生存率。然而,较低的早期死亡率似乎低估了术后第一年手术的影响。