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65岁之后的劳动力活动:丹麦、德国和瑞典近期趋势的原因是什么?

Labour force activity after 65: what explain recent trends in Denmark, Germany and Sweden?

作者信息

Larsen Mona, Pedersen Peder J

机构信息

SFI - Danish National Centre for Social Research, Herluf Trolles Gade 11, DK-1052 Copenhagen, Denmark.

SFI - Danish National Centre for Social Research, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.

出版信息

J Labour Mark Res. 2017;50(1):15-27. doi: 10.1007/s12651-017-0223-7. Epub 2017 Mar 20.

Abstract

In most OECD member countries labour force attachment, has increased in recent years not only in the age groups 60-64 years but also among people 65 years and older. Focus in this paper is on the trend in older workers' labour force participation in Denmark, Germany and Sweden since 2004. Main emphasis is given to people aged 65-69 years eligible for social security retirement programs from age 65. The gender aspect is included to accommodate different trends for women and men. To explain country differences in trends, the importance of changes in retirement policies of relevance for this age group and cohort relevant changes in education and health is examined and discussed. Further, country differences in the impact from education and health is examined. Results show that the largest increase in labour force participation among people aged 65-69 years has taken place in Sweden following by Germany, while the increase in Denmark is rather small. While the increase in Germany mainly seems to be a result of policy reforms, the increase in Sweden appear to be a result of a combination of policy changes and an increasing educational level. Financial incentives seem most important in Germany and only of minor importance in Denmark, where policy changes directed towards individuals above the age of 65 appear to have been too small so far to affect retirement behaviour significantly.

摘要

在大多数经合组织成员国,近年来劳动力参与度不仅在60 - 64岁年龄组有所提高,65岁及以上人群的劳动力参与度也有所提高。本文重点关注自2004年以来丹麦、德国和瑞典老年工人劳动力参与率的趋势。主要关注对象是65 - 69岁符合65岁领取社会保障退休计划条件的人群。纳入了性别因素以体现男女不同的趋势。为了解释各国趋势的差异,研究并讨论了与该年龄组相关的退休政策变化以及同期教育和健康方面的相关变化的重要性。此外,还研究了教育和健康影响方面的国家差异。结果表明,65 - 69岁人群劳动力参与率增幅最大的是瑞典,其次是德国,而丹麦的增幅较小。德国的增长主要似乎是政策改革的结果,瑞典的增长似乎是政策变化和教育水平提高共同作用的结果。经济激励在德国似乎最为重要,在丹麦则不太重要,在丹麦,针对65岁以上人群的政策变化目前似乎太小,无法显著影响退休行为。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ef05/5632993/150a5f5e51f9/12651_2017_223_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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