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与极端气候事件的大量新闻媒体报道有关的耗水量变化。

Changes in water consumption linked to heavy news media coverage of extreme climatic events.

机构信息

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford University, 473 Via Ortega, Room 314, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.

ReNUWIt Engineering Research Center, Stanford University, 473 Via Ortega, Room 117, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.

出版信息

Sci Adv. 2017 Oct 25;3(10):e1700784. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1700784. eCollection 2017 Oct.

Abstract

Public awareness of water- and drought-related issues is an important yet relatively unexplored component of water use behavior. To examine this relationship, we first quantified news media coverage of drought in California from 2005 to 2015, a period with two distinct droughts; the later drought received unprecedentedly high media coverage, whereas the earlier drought did not, as the United States was experiencing an economic downturn coinciding with a historic presidential election. Comparing this coverage to Google search frequency confirmed that public attention followed news media trends. We then modeled single-family residential water consumption in 20 service areas in the San Francisco Bay Area during the same period using geospatially explicit data and including news media coverage as a covariate. Model outputs revealed the factors affecting water use for populations of varying demographics. Importantly, the models estimated that an increase of 100 drought-related articles in a bimonthly period was associated with an 11 to 18% reduction in water use. Then, we evaluated high-resolution water consumption data from smart meters, known as advanced metering infrastructure, in one of the previously modeled service areas to evaluate breakpoints in water use trends. Results demonstrated that whereas nonresidential commercial irrigation customers responded to changes in climate, single-family residential customers decreased water use at the fastest rate following heavy drought-related news media coverage. These results highlight the need for water resource planners and decision makers to further consider the importance of effective, internally and externally driven, public awareness and education in water demand behavior and management.

摘要

公众对水和干旱相关问题的认识是用水行为的一个重要但相对未被充分探索的组成部分。为了研究这种关系,我们首先量化了 2005 年至 2015 年期间加利福尼亚州干旱的新闻媒体报道,这一时期经历了两次明显的干旱;后期干旱的媒体报道空前之高,而早期干旱则没有,因为美国经济衰退恰逢历史性总统大选。将这一报道与谷歌搜索频率进行比较证实,公众关注的是新闻媒体的趋势。然后,我们使用地理空间明确的数据,并将新闻媒体报道作为协变量,对同一时期旧金山湾区 20 个服务区的单户住宅用水量进行建模。模型输出揭示了影响不同人口统计学群体用水的因素。重要的是,这些模型估计,在两个月的时间内增加 100 篇与干旱相关的文章,与用水量减少 11%至 18%有关。然后,我们评估了其中一个先前建模服务区的智能仪表(称为先进计量基础设施)的高分辨率用水量数据,以评估用水趋势的转折点。结果表明,虽然非居民商业灌溉客户对气候变化做出了反应,但单户住宅客户在受到大量与干旱相关的新闻媒体报道后,用水量下降的速度最快。这些结果强调了水资源规划者和决策者需要进一步考虑在用水需求行为和管理方面,内部和外部驱动的有效公众意识和教育的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c4e4/5656424/e25271f99416/1700784-F1.jpg

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