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利用颅骨测量对美国人群进行身高估计。

Stature estimation using measurements of the cranium for populations in the United States.

作者信息

Kyllonen Kelsey M, Simmons-Ehrhardt Terrie, Monson Keith L

机构信息

Counterterrorism and Forensic Science Research Unit, Visiting Scientist Program, Federal Bureau of Investigation Laboratory Division, 2501 Investigation Parkway, Quantico, VA 22135, USA.

Counterterrorism and Forensic Science Research Unit, Federal Bureau of Investigation Laboratory Division, 2501 Investigation Parkway, Quantico, VA 22135, USA.

出版信息

Forensic Sci Int. 2017 Dec;281:184.e1-184.e9. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2017.10.011. Epub 2017 Oct 18.

Abstract

Stature estimation is an important component of the biological profile. Human crania are sometimes recovered in the absence of other skeletal material in forensic casework, and stature estimation equations using cranial measurements have not been developed for populations in the United States. Both simple and multiple regression equations for estimating stature were developed from standard cranial measurements taken from both a cranial CT dataset and the Forensic Data Bank, and the resulting equations were tested using a separate dataset. A weak to moderate correlation with stature was found for some of the measurements tested. Tests of the sex- and ancestry-specific equations and pooled sex equations produced accurate estimated stature ranges for most of the individuals in the test dataset, but large 95% confidence intervals (±14-16cm) for these equations can produce only an imprecise estimated stature range for an unidentified individual. Pooled ancestry equations also produced accurate estimated stature ranges for many of the individuals in the test dataset, but with even larger 95% confidence intervals (±18-20cm). The results of this study indicate that stature can be estimated using cranial measurements, but the resulting 95% confidence intervals produce stature ranges that are too broad to use in most forensic casework.

摘要

身高估计是生物特征剖析的重要组成部分。在法医案件工作中,有时会在没有其他骨骼材料的情况下找到人类颅骨,并且尚未为美国人群开发出使用颅骨测量值的身高估计方程。从颅骨CT数据集和法医数据库获取的标准颅骨测量值中,开发了用于估计身高的简单和多元回归方程,并使用单独的数据集对所得方程进行了测试。在所测试的一些测量值中发现与身高存在弱到中等程度的相关性。对按性别和血统分类的方程以及合并性别的方程进行测试,为测试数据集中的大多数个体得出了准确的估计身高范围,但这些方程的较大95%置信区间(±14 - 16厘米)只能为身份不明的个体产生不精确的估计身高范围。合并血统方程也为测试数据集中的许多个体得出了准确的估计身高范围,但95%置信区间甚至更大(±18 - 20厘米)。本研究结果表明,可以使用颅骨测量值来估计身高,但所得的95%置信区间产生的身高范围过于宽泛,无法用于大多数法医案件工作。

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