Gu Yuzhou, Lin Hualiang, Liu Tao, Xiao Jianpeng, Zeng Weilin, Li Zhihao, Lv Xiaojuan, Ma Wenjun
Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 510440, China.
Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2017 Nov 13;14(11):1381. doi: 10.3390/ijerph14111381.
Air pollution is now a significant environmental issue in China. To better understand the health impacts of ambient air pollution, this study investigated the potential interaction between PM and NO₂ on mortality in Guangzhou, China. Time series data of daily non-accidental mortality and concentrations of PM and NO₂ from 2006 to 2010 were collected. Based on generalized additive model, we developed two models (bivariate model and stratified model) to explore the interaction both qualitatively and quantitatively. At lag of 0-2 days, greater interactive effects between PM and NO₂ were presented in the graphs. Positive modified effects were also found between the two pollutants on total non-accidental death and cardiovascular death. When the NO₂ concentration was at a high level (>76.14 μg/m³), PM showed the greatest excess relative risk percentage (ERR%) for total non-accidental mortality (0.46, 95% CI: 0.13-0.79) and cardiovascular disease mortality (0.61, 95% CI: 0.06-1.16) for each 10 μg/m³ increase. During the period of high PM concentration (>89.82 μg/m³), NO₂ demonstrated its strongest effect for total non-accidental mortality (ERR%: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.42-1.42) and cardiovascular disease mortality (ERR%: 1.20, 95% CI: 0.38-2.03). Our results suggest a positive interaction between PM and NO₂ on non-accidental mortality in Guangzhou.
空气污染如今在中国是一个重大的环境问题。为了更好地理解环境空气污染对健康的影响,本研究调查了中国广州地区细颗粒物(PM)和二氧化氮(NO₂)对死亡率的潜在交互作用。收集了2006年至2010年每日非意外死亡率以及PM和NO₂浓度的时间序列数据。基于广义相加模型,我们开发了两个模型(双变量模型和分层模型)来定性和定量地探究这种交互作用。在滞后0 - 2天的情况下,图表中呈现出PM和NO₂之间更强的交互效应。在这两种污染物对总非意外死亡和心血管死亡方面也发现了正向修正效应。当NO₂浓度处于高水平(>76.14μg/m³)时,每增加10μg/m³,PM对总非意外死亡率(0.46,95%置信区间:0.13 - 0.79)和心血管疾病死亡率(0.61,95%置信区间:0.06 - 1.16)显示出最大的超额相对危险度百分比(ERR%)。在高PM浓度时期(>89.82μg/m³),NO₂对总非意外死亡率(ERR%:0.92,95%置信区间:0.42 - 1.42)和心血管疾病死亡率(ERR%:1.20,95%置信区间:0.38 - 2.03)显示出最强的效应。我们的结果表明广州地区PM和NO₂在非意外死亡率方面存在正向交互作用。