Lasalvia Pieralessandro, Baquero Laura, Otálora-Esteban Margarita, Castañeda-Cardona Camilo, Rosselli Diego
Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Medical School, Bogota, Colombia.
NeuroEconomix, Bogota, Colombia.
Value Health Reg Issues. 2017 Dec;14:35-40. doi: 10.1016/j.vhri.2016.10.006. Epub 2017 Jun 9.
Diabetes treatment includes very diverse drugs. It is essential to identify which drugs offer the best value for their costs.
To estimate comparative cost effectiveness for treating diabetes mellitus with dulaglutide, liraglutide, or glargine in Colombia.
A Markov model including diabetic microvascular and macrovascular complications was used to estimate cost-effectiveness. We used annual cycles, a 5-year time horizon, 5% discount rate, and third-party payer's perspective. Main outcomes were quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Transition probabilities were obtained from primary studies and costs from local databases and studies. We used a threshold of 3 times the Colombian per capita gross domestic product (US $17,270 for 2015; US $1 = 2,743 Columbian pesos) to assess cost effectiveness.
Total costs related to dulaglutide, liraglutide, and glargine were US $8,633, US $10,756, and US $5,783, yielding 3.311 QALYs, 3.229 QALYs, and 3.156 QALYs, respectively. Dulaglutide dominated liraglutide given lower total costs and higher QALYs. The estimated ICER for dulaglutide compared with glargine was US $18,385, greater than the accepted threshold. Sensibility analysis shows that decreased dulaglutide cost, increased consumption of glargine, nondaily injection, and number and cost of glucometry could result in ICERs lower than the threshold. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed consistent results.
This estimation indicates that dulaglutide dominates liraglutide. Its ICER is, however, greater than the accepted threshold for Colombia in base case compared with glargine. By increasing population weight or glargine consumption, dulaglutide becomes cost effective compared with glargine, which could identify a niche where dulaglutide is the best option.
糖尿病治疗药物种类繁多。确定哪些药物性价比最高至关重要。
评估在哥伦比亚使用度拉糖肽、利拉鲁肽或甘精胰岛素治疗糖尿病的成本效益比较。
采用包含糖尿病微血管和大血管并发症的马尔可夫模型来评估成本效益。我们使用年度周期、5年时间范围、5%的贴现率以及第三方支付者的视角。主要结果是质量调整生命年(QALY)和增量成本效益比(ICER)。转移概率来自初步研究,成本来自当地数据库和研究。我们使用哥伦比亚人均国内生产总值的3倍作为阈值(2015年为17,270美元;1美元 = 2,743哥伦比亚比索)来评估成本效益。
度拉糖肽、利拉鲁肽和甘精胰岛素的总成本分别为8,633美元、10,756美元和5,783美元,分别产生3.311个QALY、3.229个QALY和3.156个QALY。度拉糖肽以较低的总成本和较高的QALY优于利拉鲁肽。与甘精胰岛素相比,度拉糖肽的估计ICER为18,385美元,高于可接受阈值。敏感性分析表明,度拉糖肽成本降低、甘精胰岛素使用量增加、非每日注射以及血糖仪数量和成本的变化可能导致ICER低于阈值。概率敏感性分析显示了一致的结果。
该评估表明度拉糖肽优于利拉鲁肽。然而,与甘精胰岛素相比,在基础情况下其ICER高于哥伦比亚可接受的阈值。通过增加人群权重或甘精胰岛素使用量,度拉糖肽与甘精胰岛素相比具有成本效益,这可能确定度拉糖肽是最佳选择的细分市场。