Bergmeir Christoph, Bilgrami Irma, Bain Christopher, Webb Geoffrey I, Orosz Judit, Pilcher David
Faculty of Information Technology, Monash University, Clayton, Australia.
Intensive Care Specialist, Departments of Anaesthesia, Intensive Care and Pain Management, Western Health, Gordon Street, Footscray, Vic, Australia.
PLoS One. 2017 Dec 27;12(12):e0188688. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0188688. eCollection 2017.
Hospitals have seen a rise in Medical Emergency Team (MET) reviews. We hypothesised that the commonest MET calls result in similar treatments. Our aim was to design a pre-emptive management algorithm that allowed direct institution of treatment to patients without having to wait for attendance of the MET team and to model its potential impact on MET call incidence and patient outcomes.
Data was extracted for all MET calls from the hospital database. Association rule data mining techniques were used to identify the most common combinations of MET call causes, outcomes and therapies.
There were 13,656 MET calls during the 34-month study period in 7936 patients. The most common MET call was for hypotension [31%, (2459/7936)]. These MET calls were strongly associated with the immediate administration of intra-venous fluid (70% [1714/2459] v 13% [739/5477] p<0.001), unless the patient was located on a respiratory ward (adjusted OR 0.41 [95%CI 0.25-0.67] p<0.001), had a cardiac cause for admission (adjusted OR 0.61 [95%CI 0.50-0.75] p<0.001) or was under the care of the heart failure team (adjusted OR 0.29 [95%CI 0.19-0.42] p<0.001). Modelling the effect of a pre-emptive management algorithm for immediate fluid administration without MET activation on data from a test period of 24 months following the study period, suggested it would lead to a 68.7% (2541/3697) reduction in MET calls for hypotension and a 19.6% (2541/12938) reduction in total METs without adverse effects on patients.
Routinely collected data and analytic techniques can be used to develop a pre-emptive management algorithm to administer intravenous fluid therapy to a specific group of hypotensive patients without the need to initiate a MET call. This could both lead to earlier treatment for the patient and less total MET calls.
医院中医疗急救团队(MET)会诊的数量有所增加。我们假设最常见的MET会诊会导致相似的治疗。我们的目标是设计一种抢先管理算法,使患者无需等待MET团队到场即可直接接受治疗,并模拟其对MET会诊发生率和患者预后的潜在影响。
从医院数据库中提取所有MET会诊的数据。使用关联规则数据挖掘技术来识别MET会诊原因、结果和治疗方法的最常见组合。
在为期34个月的研究期间,7936名患者中有13656次MET会诊。最常见的MET会诊原因是低血压[31%,(2459/7936)]。这些MET会诊与立即静脉输液密切相关(70%[1714/2459]对13%[739/5477],p<0.001),除非患者住在呼吸科病房(校正比值比0.41[95%置信区间0.25-0.67],p<0.001)、因心脏原因入院(校正比值比0.61[95%置信区间0.50-0.75],p<0.001)或由心力衰竭团队护理(校正比值比0.29[95%置信区间0.19-0.42],p<0.001)。对研究期后24个月测试期的数据进行建模,模拟在不启动MET的情况下立即进行液体管理的抢先管理算法的效果,结果表明这将使因低血压导致的MET会诊减少68.7%(2541/3697),使总的MET会诊减少19.6%(2541/12938),且对患者无不良影响。
常规收集的数据和分析技术可用于开发一种抢先管理算法,为特定组的低血压患者进行静脉输液治疗,而无需启动MET会诊。这既能使患者得到更早的治疗,又能减少总的MET会诊次数。