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陆地干湿季降水之间的递减幅度及其对植被初级生产力的影响。

The decreasing range between dry- and wet- season precipitation over land and its effect on vegetation primary productivity.

作者信息

Murray-Tortarolo Guillermo, Jaramillo Víctor J, Maass Manuel, Friedlingstein Pierre, Sitch Stephen

机构信息

Instituto de Investigaciones en Ecosistemas y Sustentabilidad, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Morelia, México.

Cátedra CONACyT comisionado al Instituto de Investigaciones en Ecosistemas y Sustentabilidad, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Morelia, México.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2017 Dec 28;12(12):e0190304. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0190304. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

One consequence of climate change is the alteration of global water fluxes, both in amount and seasonality. As a result, the seasonal difference between dry- (p < 100 mm/month) and wet-season (p > 100 mm/month) precipitation (p) has increased over land during recent decades (1980-2005). However, our analysis expanding to a 60-year period (1950-2009) showed the opposite trend. This is, dry-season precipitation increased steadily, while wet-season precipitation remained constant, leading to reduced seasonality at a global scale. The decrease in seasonality was not due to a change in dry-season length, but in precipitation rate; thus, the dry season is on average becoming wetter without changes in length. Regionally, wet- and dry-season precipitations are of opposite sign, causing a decrease in the seasonal variation of the precipitation over 62% of the terrestrial ecosystems. Furthermore, we found a high correlation (r = 0.62) between the change in dry-season precipitation and the trend in modelled net primary productivity (NPP), which is explained based on different ecological mechanisms. This trend is not found with wet-season precipitation (r = 0.04), These results build on the argument that seasonal water availability has changed over the course of the last six decades and that the dry-season precipitation is a key driver of vegetation productivity at the global scale.

摘要

气候变化的一个后果是全球水通量在数量和季节性方面发生改变。因此,近几十年来(1980 - 2005年),陆地干旱季节(p < 100毫米/月)和湿润季节(p > 100毫米/月)降水量(p)之间的季节差异有所增加。然而,我们将分析扩展至60年期间(1950 - 2009年)却显示出相反的趋势。也就是说,干旱季节降水量稳步增加,而湿润季节降水量保持不变,导致全球范围内季节性降低。季节性的降低并非由于干旱季节长度的变化,而是降水速率的变化;因此,干旱季节平均而言在长度不变的情况下变得更加湿润。在区域上,湿润和干旱季节的降水量符号相反,导致超过62%的陆地生态系统降水的季节变化减少。此外,我们发现干旱季节降水量的变化与模拟的净初级生产力(NPP)趋势之间存在高度相关性(r = 0.62),这是基于不同的生态机制来解释的。湿润季节降水量则未发现这种趋势(r = 0.04)。这些结果支持了这样一种观点,即在过去六十年中季节性可用水量已经发生变化,并且干旱季节降水量是全球尺度植被生产力的关键驱动因素。

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