Research School of Population Health, Australian National University, Australia.
Research School of Population Health, Australian National University, Australia.
Int J Surg. 2018 Feb;50:126-132. doi: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2017.12.023. Epub 2017 Dec 28.
Surgical interventions save lives and are important focus for health services research worldwide. Investigating variation in postoperative mortality may improve understanding of unwarranted variations and promote safety and quality in surgical care. We aimed to evaluate trends of in-hospital mortality rates among adult inpatients receiving major elective surgeries and determine the variation in mortality among New South Wales (NSW) public hospitals.
In this study, we used the all-inclusive population-based NSW Admitted Patient Data from July 2001 to June 2014. We retrospectively included adult patients aged 18+ years receiving Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) repair, Peripheral bypass, Colorectal surgeries, Joint replacement, Spinal surgeries, or Cardiac surgeries. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality for selected surgeries. Changes in mortality rates over time and hospital standardised mortality rates were modelled using multivariate logistic regression models adjusting for case-mix factors.
Over 13-year study period, the in-hospital mortality rates declined annually by 6.4% (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 4.3, 8.4) for Colorectal surgery by 5.7% (95%CI: 2.0, 9.3) for Joint replacement and by 4.2% (95%CI: 1.9, 6.4) for Cardiac surgery. After controlling for patient-level factors, little variation was observed among hospitals for in-hospital mortality. There was a greater variability for cardiac surgery compared with the other surgical groups but no outlier hospital was consistently associated with significantly higher than expected mortality rate.
Mortality has declined for major surgeries in the past 15 years. There was some variation among hospitals regarding in-hospital mortality that was mostly explained by patients demographic and admission characteristics. Our findings are reassuring for patients and contribute to knowledge that can help further improve surgical care.
外科干预可以拯救生命,是全球卫生服务研究的重点。调查术后死亡率的变化可以帮助更好地理解不必要的差异,并促进外科护理的安全性和质量。我们旨在评估接受主要择期手术的成年住院患者的院内死亡率趋势,并确定新南威尔士州(NSW)公立医院死亡率的变化。
在这项研究中,我们使用了 2001 年 7 月至 2014 年 6 月期间的包罗万象的全人口 NSW 入院患者数据。我们回顾性纳入了 18 岁以上接受腹主动脉瘤(AAA)修复、外周旁路、结直肠手术、关节置换、脊柱手术或心脏手术的成年患者。主要结果是选定手术的院内死亡率。使用多变量逻辑回归模型,根据病例组合因素调整,对死亡率随时间的变化和医院标准化死亡率进行建模。
在 13 年的研究期间,结直肠手术的院内死亡率每年下降 6.4%(95%置信区间(CI):4.3,8.4),关节置换手术下降 5.7%(95%CI:2.0,9.3),心脏手术下降 4.2%(95%CI:1.9,6.4)。在控制患者水平因素后,医院之间的院内死亡率变化不大。心脏手术的变异性大于其他手术组,但没有一家医院始终与明显高于预期的死亡率相关。
在过去的 15 年中,主要手术的死亡率有所下降。医院之间在院内死亡率方面存在一定差异,这主要归因于患者的人口统计学和入院特征。我们的研究结果使患者感到安心,并为进一步改善外科护理提供了有助于知识积累的信息。