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潜在经导管治疗患者再次二尖瓣手术后的医院转归和死亡率风险指数:来自一个欧洲注册研究的结果。

Hospital Outcome and Risk Indices of Mortality after redo-mitral valve surgery in Potential Candidates for Transcatheter Procedures: Results From a European Registry.

机构信息

Division of Cardiac Surgery, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.

Department of Cardiac Surgery, Leicester University Hospital, Leicester, UK.

出版信息

J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth. 2018 Apr;32(2):646-653. doi: 10.1053/j.jvca.2017.09.039. Epub 2017 Sep 28.

DOI:10.1053/j.jvca.2017.09.039
PMID:29325846
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Transcatheter mitral valve-in-valve/valve-in-ring procedures (TM-VIVoR) are increasing. The authors aimed to identify independent predictors for hospital mortality in redo mitral valve surgery as possible future selection criteria for TM-VIVoR.

DESIGN

Retrospective multicenter registry.

SETTING

Tertiary university and community hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

Two-hundred and sixty patients (out of 920 enrolled) who are potentially candidates for TM-VIVoR undergoing redo-surgery.

INTERVENTIONS

Redo mitral surgery.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Regression analyzes and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves identified independent predictors of death. Patients potentially candidates for TM-VIVoR reported significant hospital mortality (9.2%; EuroSCORE II: 13.2 ± 13.1, Society of Thoracic Surgeons [STS] score: 6.2 ± 3.1) and major morbidity (3.8% acute myocardial infarction, 5% stroke, 16.9% perioperative respiratory failure, 16.5% acute renal insufficiency, 25% massive transfusions). EuroSCORE II (odds ration [OR] 1.06; confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.10; p = 0.005), STS score (OR 1.58; CI 1.27-1.97; p = 0.001), age at surgery (OR 1.05; CI 1.00-1.15; p = 0.05), preoperative dialysis (OR 2.5; CI 1.8-12.6; p = 0.042), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <30% (OR 4.8; CI 1.12-37.1; p = 0.021), severe pulmonary hypertension (OR 7.5; CI 1.9-29.4; p = 0.003), and previous coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) (OR 11.8; CI 1.7-36.9; p = 0.002) were independent predictors of hospital mortality. ROC analyses reported good prediction for EuroSCORE II (AUC: 0.76; cut-off value: >13.1; 70.8% sensitivity and 68.2% specificity) and better prediction for STS score (AUC: 0.81; cut-off value: 7.4; 75.0% sensitivity and 66.2% specificity). Quintiles stratification identified EuroSCORE II ≥18.7 (5th quintile, observed mortality: 19.3%) and STS score >9.1 as strong predictors of death within each risk-categorization (OR 5.9 and 12.1, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

High EuroSCORE II and STS scores, advanced age at surgery, LVEF <30%, previous CABG, severe pulmonary hypertension or preoperative dialysis might represent in the future preferred indications for TM-VIVoR in the redo-mitral surgery scenario.

摘要

目的

经导管二尖瓣瓣中瓣/瓣上环(TM-VIVoR)手术的数量不断增加。作者旨在确定二尖瓣再次手术中与医院死亡率相关的独立预测因素,以便为 TM-VIVoR 未来的选择标准提供参考。

设计

回顾性多中心注册研究。

地点

三级大学和社区医院。

参与者

260 名(920 名入选患者中的)可能适合 TM-VIVoR 并接受二尖瓣再次手术的患者。

干预

二尖瓣再次手术。

测量和主要结果

回归分析和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线确定了死亡的独立预测因素。可能适合 TM-VIVoR 的患者报告了显著的医院死亡率(9.2%;欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统 II 评分:13.2 ± 13.1,胸外科医师学会评分:6.2 ± 3.1)和主要并发症(3.8%急性心肌梗死,5%中风,16.9%围手术期呼吸衰竭,16.5%急性肾功能不全,25%大量输血)。欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统 II 评分(比值比 [OR] 1.06;置信区间 [CI] 1.01-1.10;p = 0.005)、胸外科医师学会评分(OR 1.58;CI 1.27-1.97;p = 0.001)、手术时的年龄(OR 1.05;CI 1.00-1.15;p = 0.05)、术前透析(OR 2.5;CI 1.8-12.6;p = 0.042)、左心室射血分数(LVEF)<30%(OR 4.8;CI 1.12-37.1;p = 0.021)、严重肺动脉高压(OR 7.5;CI 1.9-29.4;p = 0.003)和既往冠状动脉旁路移植术(CABG)(OR 11.8;CI 1.7-36.9;p = 0.002)是医院死亡率的独立预测因素。ROC 分析报告了欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统 II 的良好预测(AUC:0.76;临界值:>13.1;70.8%的敏感性和 68.2%的特异性)和胸外科医师学会评分的更好预测(AUC:0.81;临界值:7.4;75.0%的敏感性和 66.2%的特异性)。五分位分层确定欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统 II ≥18.7(第 5 分位数,观察死亡率:19.3%)和胸外科医师学会评分>9.1 是每个风险分类内死亡的强预测因素(OR 5.9 和 12.1)。

结论

高欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统 II 和胸外科医师学会评分、手术时年龄较大、LVEF<30%、既往 CABG、严重肺动脉高压或术前透析可能是二尖瓣再次手术中 TM-VIVoR 的未来首选适应证。

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