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伽马差距可预测 90 岁及以上人群的 4 年全因死亡率。

The gamma gap predicts 4-year all-cause mortality among nonagenarians and centenarians.

机构信息

The Center of Gerontology and Geriatrics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Lane, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

The Center of Rehabilitation, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Lane, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2018 Jan 18;8(1):1046. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-19534-4.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-018-19534-4
PMID:29348636
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5773485/
Abstract

Recent studies have revealed the prognostic role of the gamma gap, the total serum proteins concentration minus the albumin concentration, for predicting all-cause mortality among adults. This study aims to investigate the relationship between the gamma gap and all-cause mortality among nonagenarians and centenarians via a secondary data analysis of a prospective observational study. The analysis included 801 participants (260 men and 541 women, mean age: 93.7 ± 3.5 years), 46 of which were lost at the 4-year follow-up. The mean gamma gap was 2.7 ± 0.5 g/dl. After adjusting for relevant confounders, the gamma gap was significantly associated with 4-year all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] per 1-SD = 1.22, 95% confidential interval [CI]: 1.12-1.78). Using different cut-off points, the elevated gamma gap could be defined as ≥2.9, 3.0, 3.1, or 3.2 g/dl. The relevant HRs and 95% CIs of the elevated gamma gap for predicting mortality were 1.27 (1.12-1.90), 1.29 (1.03-1.78), 1.21 (1.23-1.66), and 1.26 (1.09-1.69), respectively. In conclusion, the gamma gap is an independent prognostic factor for long-term mortality in nonagenarians and centenarians. A value greater than or equal to 3.1 g/dl may define an elevated gamma gap, but further studies are required.

摘要

最近的研究揭示了γ谷值(血清总蛋白浓度减去白蛋白浓度)在预测成年人全因死亡率方面的预后作用。本研究旨在通过对一项前瞻性观察研究的二次数据分析,探讨γ谷值与非百岁老人和百岁老人全因死亡率之间的关系。该分析包括 801 名参与者(260 名男性和 541 名女性,平均年龄:93.7±3.5 岁),其中 46 名在 4 年随访时丢失。γ谷值的平均值为 2.7±0.5 g/dl。在调整了相关混杂因素后,γ谷值与 4 年全因死亡率显著相关(每增加 1 个标准差的风险比 [HR]为 1.22,95%置信区间 [CI]:1.12-1.78)。使用不同的截断点,可以将升高的γ谷值定义为≥2.9、3.0、3.1 或 3.2 g/dl。升高的γ谷值预测死亡率的相关 HR 和 95% CI 分别为 1.27(1.12-1.90)、1.29(1.03-1.78)、1.21(1.23-1.66)和 1.26(1.09-1.69)。总之,γ谷值是预测非百岁老人和百岁老人长期死亡率的独立预后因素。大于或等于 3.1 g/dl 的值可能定义为升高的γ谷值,但需要进一步的研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8c1f/5773485/93477369b5d0/41598_2018_19534_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8c1f/5773485/93477369b5d0/41598_2018_19534_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8c1f/5773485/93477369b5d0/41598_2018_19534_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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