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使用贝塔系数插补荟萃分析研究中缺失的相关性:需谨慎的原因。

Using beta coefficients to impute missing correlations in meta-analysis research: Reasons for caution.

机构信息

Department of Management, College of Business, Clemson University.

Department of Management, University of Texas at San Antonio.

出版信息

J Appl Psychol. 2018 Jun;103(6):644-658. doi: 10.1037/apl0000293. Epub 2018 Jan 25.

Abstract

Meta-analysis has become a well-accepted method for synthesizing empirical research about a given phenomenon. Many meta-analyses focus on synthesizing correlations across primary studies, but some primary studies do not report correlations. Peterson and Brown (2005) suggested that researchers could use standardized regression weights (i.e., beta coefficients) to impute missing correlations. Indeed, their beta estimation procedures (BEPs) have been used in meta-analyses in a wide variety of fields. In this study, the authors evaluated the accuracy of BEPs in meta-analysis. We first examined how use of BEPs might affect results from a published meta-analysis. We then developed a series of Monte Carlo simulations that systematically compared the use of existing correlations (that were not missing) to data sets that incorporated BEPs (that impute missing correlations from corresponding beta coefficients). These simulations estimated ρ̄ (mean population correlation) and SDρ (true standard deviation) across a variety of meta-analytic conditions. Results from both the existing meta-analysis and the Monte Carlo simulations revealed that BEPs were associated with potentially large biases when estimating ρ̄ and even larger biases when estimating SDρ. Using only existing correlations often substantially outperformed use of BEPs and virtually never performed worse than BEPs. Overall, the authors urge a return to the standard practice of using only existing correlations in meta-analysis. (PsycINFO Database Record

摘要

元分析已成为综合给定现象的实证研究的一种公认方法。许多元分析侧重于综合主要研究中的相关性,但有些主要研究并未报告相关性。Peterson 和 Brown(2005 年)建议研究人员可以使用标准化回归权重(即β系数)来推断缺失的相关性。实际上,他们的β估计程序(BEPs)已在广泛的领域的元分析中得到了应用。在这项研究中,作者评估了 BEPs 在元分析中的准确性。我们首先检查了使用 BEPs 可能如何影响已发表的元分析的结果。然后,我们进行了一系列蒙特卡罗模拟,系统地比较了使用现有相关性(未缺失)与包含 BEPs 的数据集(从相应的β系数推断缺失的相关性)。这些模拟在各种元分析条件下估计了ρ̄(总体相关的平均值)和 SDρ(真实标准差)。来自既有元分析和蒙特卡罗模拟的结果表明,BEPs 在估计ρ̄时可能存在潜在的大偏差,在估计 SDρ 时甚至存在更大的偏差。仅使用现有相关性通常可以大大优于使用 BEPs,而且几乎从未比 BEPs 差。总体而言,作者敦促在元分析中恢复仅使用现有相关性的标准做法。

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