Cosentino Marco, Peraza Maria F, Vives Alvaro, Sanchez Josvany, Moreno Daniel, Perona Judith, Ortiz Gerardo, Alcoba Maria, Ruiz Eduardo, Sarquella Joaquim
Andrology Department, Fundacio Puigvert, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Carrer Cartagena 340-350, 08025, Barcelona, Spain.
Anaesthesia Department, Hospital de Sant Pau, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Int Urol Nephrol. 2018 Apr;50(4):625-632. doi: 10.1007/s11255-018-1810-4. Epub 2018 Feb 8.
To identify factors predicting success and analyze critically the status of microsurgical double-layer vasovasostomy using predictive models.
A cohort of 263 patients treated at our institution for vasectomy reversal between 1986 and 2010 was included in our study, and the literature was reviewed. Inclusion criteria were previous bilateral vasectomy and presence of at least two postoperative semen analyses; patients reporting pregnancy without a postoperative semen analysis were excluded. A double-layer, microscope-assisted, tension-free anastomosis vasovasostomy was performed approximating mucosa to mucosa and muscle to muscle with a 10-0 non-absorbable suture. A multivariate logistic regression backward stepwise model was used to predict combined success, and a predictive model was calculated with remaining variables.
Mean age was of 41.6 years (SD 7.1); mean duration of obstruction 7.2 years (SD 6.7). On multivariate analysis, uni- or bilateral granuloma and Silber grade of I-III were variable identified predicting higher probability to success (OR 3.105; 95% CI 1.108-8.702; p = 0.031 and OR 4.795; 95% CI 2.117-10.860; p < 0.001, respectively).
Based on our results, some factors predicting success after vasovasostomy surgery are known but others remain unknown; our predictive model may easily predict patency and success after this surgery and offers a concrete assistance in counseling patients.
确定预测成功的因素,并使用预测模型批判性地分析显微外科双层输精管吻合术的现状。
我们的研究纳入了1986年至2010年间在本机构接受输精管复通治疗的263例患者队列,并对文献进行了回顾。纳入标准为既往双侧输精管结扎术且至少有两次术后精液分析;未进行术后精液分析但报告怀孕的患者被排除。采用双层、显微镜辅助、无张力吻合输精管吻合术,用10-0不可吸收缝线使黏膜对黏膜、肌肉对肌肉。使用多变量逻辑回归向后逐步模型预测综合成功率,并使用剩余变量计算预测模型。
平均年龄为41.6岁(标准差7.1);平均梗阻时间为7.2年(标准差6.7)。多变量分析显示,单发性或双侧性肉芽肿以及I-III级的西尔伯分级是预测成功率较高的变量(分别为OR 3.105;95%CI 1.108-8.702;p = 0.031和OR 4.795;95%CI 2.117-10.860;p < 0.001)。
根据我们的结果,输精管吻合术后预测成功的一些因素是已知的,但其他因素仍未知;我们的预测模型可以轻松预测该手术后的通畅性和成功率,并为咨询患者提供具体帮助。