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带脉冲接种和消毒的霍乱疫情动力学。

Dynamics of cholera epidemics with impulsive vaccination and disinfection.

机构信息

School of Mathematics and Allied Sciences, Jiwaji University, Gwalior, M.P., 474011, India.

School of Mathematics and Allied Sciences, Jiwaji University, Gwalior, M.P., 474011, India.

出版信息

Math Biosci. 2018 Apr;298:46-57. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2018.02.001. Epub 2018 Feb 7.

Abstract

Waterborne diseases have a tremendous influence on human life. The contaminated drinking water causes water-borne disease like cholera. Pulse vaccination is an important and effective strategy for the elimination of infectious diseases. A waterborne disease like cholera can also be controlled by using impulse technique. In this paper, we have proposed a delayed SEIRB epidemic model with impulsive vaccination and disinfection. We have studied the pulse vaccination strategy and sanitation to control the cholera disease. The existence and stability of the disease-free and endemic periodic solution are investigated both analytically and numerically. It is shown that there exists an infection-free periodic solution, using the impulsive dynamical system defined by the stroboscopic map. It is observed that the infection-free periodic solution is globally attractive when the impulse period is less than some critical value. From the analysis of the model, we have obtained a sufficient condition for the permanence of the epidemic with pulse vaccination. The main highlight of this paper is to introduce impulse technique along with latent period into the SEIRB epidemic model to investigate the role of pulse vaccination and disinfection on the dynamics of the cholera epidemics.

摘要

水媒疾病对人类生活有巨大影响。受污染的饮用水会导致霍乱等水媒疾病。脉冲接种是消除传染病的重要且有效的策略。脉冲技术也可用于控制霍乱等水媒疾病。在本文中,我们提出了一个带有脉冲接种和消毒的时滞 SEIRB 传染病模型。我们研究了脉冲接种策略和卫生措施来控制霍乱疾病。通过解析和数值方法研究了无病和地方病周期解的存在性和稳定性。结果表明,存在一个无感染的周期解,这是通过频闪映射定义的脉冲动力系统得到的。观察到当脉冲周期小于某个临界值时,无感染的周期解是全局吸引的。通过对模型的分析,我们得到了脉冲接种下传染病持续存在的充分条件。本文的主要亮点是将脉冲技术和潜伏期引入 SEIRB 传染病模型中,以研究脉冲接种和消毒对霍乱流行动力学的作用。

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