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在印度,住宅能源使用排放是接触环境颗粒物对健康产生影响的主要因素。

Residential energy use emissions dominate health impacts from exposure to ambient particulate matter in India.

作者信息

Conibear Luke, Butt Edward W, Knote Christoph, Arnold Stephen R, Spracklen Dominick V

机构信息

Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) Centre for Doctoral Training (CDT) in Bioenergy, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK.

Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2018 Feb 12;9(1):617. doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-02986-7.

Abstract

Exposure to ambient fine particulate matter (PM) is a leading contributor to diseases in India. Previous studies analysing emission source attributions were restricted by coarse model resolution and limited PM observations. We use a regional model informed by new observations to make the first high-resolution study of the sector-specific disease burden from ambient PM exposure in India. Observed annual mean PM concentrations exceed 100 μg m and are well simulated by the model. We calculate that the emissions from residential energy use dominate (52%) population-weighted annual mean PM concentrations, and are attributed to 511,000 (95UI: 340,000-697,000) premature mortalities annually. However, removing residential energy use emissions would avert only 256,000 (95UI: 162,000-340,000), due to the non-linear exposure-response relationship causing health effects to saturate at high PM concentrations. Consequently, large reductions in emissions will be required to reduce the health burden from ambient PM exposure in India.

摘要

暴露于环境细颗粒物(PM)是印度疾病的主要成因。以往分析排放源归因的研究受到模型分辨率粗糙和PM观测数据有限的限制。我们利用新观测数据提供信息的区域模型,首次对印度环境PM暴露造成的特定部门疾病负担进行了高分辨率研究。观测到的年平均PM浓度超过100μg/m³,且该模型对其进行了良好的模拟。我们计算得出,住宅能源使用排放主导了(52%)人口加权年平均PM浓度,并导致每年511,000例(95%置信区间:340,000 - 697,000)过早死亡。然而,由于高PM浓度下健康效应的非线性暴露 - 反应关系导致饱和,去除住宅能源使用排放仅能避免256,000例(95%置信区间:162,000 - 340,000)过早死亡。因此,需要大幅减少排放以减轻印度环境PM暴露造成的健康负担。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c497/5809377/4fb663ae4792/41467_2018_2986_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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