Andraud Mathieu, Fablet Christelle, Renson Patricia, Eono Florent, Mahé Sophie, Bourry Olivier, Rose Nicolas
Unité épidémiologie et bien-être du porc, Anses Laboratoire de Ploufragan-Plouzané, Ploufragan, France.
Université Bretagne-Loire, Rennes, France.
Front Vet Sci. 2018 Jan 29;5:9. doi: 10.3389/fvets.2018.00009. eCollection 2018.
The outputs of epidemiological models are strongly related to the structure of the model and input parameters. The latter are defined by fitting theoretical concepts to actual data derived from field or experimental studies. However, some parameters may remain difficult to estimate and are subject to uncertainty or sensitivity analyses to determine their variation range and their global impact on model outcomes. As such, the evaluation of immunity duration is often a puzzling issue requiring long-term follow-up data that are, most of time, not available. The present analysis aims at characterizing the kinetics of antibodies against Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome virus (PRRSv) from longitudinal data sets. The first data set consisted in the serological follow-up of 22 vaccinated gilts during 21 weeks post-vaccination (PV). The second one gathered the maternally derived antibodies (MDAs) kinetics in piglets from three different farms up to 14 weeks of age. The peak of the PV serological response against PRRSv was reached 6.9 weeks PV on average with an average duration of antibodies persistence of 26.5 weeks. In the monitored cohort of piglets, the duration of passive immunity was found relatively short, with an average duration of 4.8 weeks. The level of PRRSv-MDAs was found correlated with the dams' antibody titer at birth, and the antibody persistence was strongly related to the initial MDAs titers in piglets. These results evidenced the importance of PRRSv vaccination schedule in sows, to optimize the delivery of antibodies to suckling piglets. These estimates of the duration of active and passive immunity could be further used as input parameters of epidemiological models to analyze their impact on the persistence of PRRSv within farms.
流行病学模型的输出结果与模型结构和输入参数密切相关。后者是通过将理论概念与从实地或实验研究中获得的实际数据进行拟合来定义的。然而,一些参数可能仍然难以估计,需要进行不确定性或敏感性分析,以确定其变化范围及其对模型结果的总体影响。因此,免疫持续时间的评估往往是一个令人困惑的问题,需要长期的随访数据,而这些数据大多数时候是无法获得的。本分析旨在根据纵向数据集描述针对猪繁殖与呼吸综合征病毒(PRRSv)的抗体动力学。第一个数据集包括22头接种疫苗的后备母猪在接种疫苗后21周内的血清学随访。第二个数据集收集了来自三个不同农场的仔猪直至14周龄时母源抗体(MDA)的动力学数据。针对PRRSv的接种后血清学反应峰值平均在接种后6.9周达到,抗体持续存在的平均时间为26.5周。在监测的仔猪队列中,发现被动免疫的持续时间相对较短,平均持续时间为4.8周。发现PRRSv-MDA的水平与母猪分娩时的抗体滴度相关,并且抗体持续存在与仔猪初始MDA滴度密切相关。这些结果证明了母猪PRRSv疫苗接种计划对于优化向哺乳仔猪传递抗体的重要性。这些主动和被动免疫持续时间的估计值可进一步用作流行病学模型的输入参数,以分析它们对农场内PRRSv持续存在的影响。