Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Deutscher Platz 6, 04103 Leipzig, Germany; German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany.
Research Centre in Evolutionary Anthropology, and Palaeoecology, School of Natural Sciences and Psychology, Liverpool John Moores University, Byrom Street, Liverpool L3 3AF, UK; Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Science Park 904, 1098 XH Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Curr Biol. 2018 Mar 5;28(5):761-769.e5. doi: 10.1016/j.cub.2018.01.053. Epub 2018 Feb 15.
Unsustainable exploitation of natural resources is increasingly affecting the highly biodiverse tropics [1, 2]. Although rapid developments in remote sensing technology have permitted more precise estimates of land-cover change over large spatial scales [3-5], our knowledge about the effects of these changes on wildlife is much more sparse [6, 7]. Here we use field survey data, predictive density distribution modeling, and remote sensing to investigate the impact of resource use and land-use changes on the density distribution of Bornean orangutans (Pongo pygmaeus). Our models indicate that between 1999 and 2015, half of the orangutan population was affected by logging, deforestation, or industrialized plantations. Although land clearance caused the most dramatic rates of decline, it accounted for only a small proportion of the total loss. A much larger number of orangutans were lost in selectively logged and primary forests, where rates of decline were less precipitous, but where far more orangutans are found. This suggests that further drivers, independent of land-use change, contribute to orangutan loss. This finding is consistent with studies reporting hunting as a major cause in orangutan decline [8-10]. Our predictions of orangutan abundance loss across Borneo suggest that the population decreased by more than 100,000 individuals, corroborating recent estimates of decline [11]. Practical solutions to prevent future orangutan decline can only be realized by addressing its complex causes in a holistic manner across political and societal sectors, such as in land-use planning, resource exploitation, infrastructure development, and education, and by increasing long-term sustainability [12]. VIDEO ABSTRACT.
自然资源的不可持续开发利用日益影响到生物多样性极高的热带地区[1,2]。尽管遥感技术的快速发展使得对大尺度空间的土地覆盖变化进行更精确的估计成为可能[3-5],但我们对这些变化对野生动物的影响的了解却要稀疏得多[6,7]。在这里,我们使用野外调查数据、预测密度分布模型和遥感技术来研究资源利用和土地利用变化对婆罗洲猩猩(Pongo pygmaeus)密度分布的影响。我们的模型表明,在 1999 年至 2015 年期间,有一半的猩猩种群受到了伐木、森林砍伐或工业化种植园的影响。虽然土地开垦导致了最急剧的下降,但它只占总损失的一小部分。在有选择性砍伐和原始森林中,有更多的猩猩失去了栖息地,尽管下降速度较慢,但那里有更多的猩猩。这表明,除了土地利用变化之外,还有其他因素导致了猩猩的减少。这一发现与报告狩猎是猩猩减少的主要原因的研究结果一致[8-10]。我们对婆罗洲猩猩数量减少的预测表明,该物种的数量减少了超过 10 万只,这与最近的下降估计相符[11]。要防止未来猩猩数量的减少,只能通过在政治和社会部门全面解决其复杂的原因,如土地利用规划、资源开发、基础设施发展和教育,并提高长期可持续性,才能实现切实可行的解决方案[12]。视频摘要。