The Department of Oncology, Hadassah-Hebrew University Medical Center, Hebrew University-Hadassah Medical School, Jerusalem 91120, Israel; The Jerusalem Institute of Aging Research, Hadassah-Hebrew University Medical Center Mount Scopus, Hebrew University-Hadassah Medical School, Mount Scopus, Jerusalem, Israel.
Divisions of Hematology-Oncology and Geriatric Medicine, Department of Medicine and Jonsson Comprehensive Cancer Center, David Geffen UCLA School of Medicine, 10911 Weyburn Avenue, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.
Arch Gerontol Geriatr. 2018 May-Jun;76:60-64. doi: 10.1016/j.archger.2018.02.004. Epub 2018 Feb 13.
To describe the association between increasing age and survival among women aged over 65 years, diagnosed with breast cancer.
A historical prospective cohort study, comparing 3270 breast cancer patients to 13,163 non cancer age matched controls. Baseline characteristics and cancer data gathered from the Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics (1995), the Israel Cancer Registry (2000-2010). Baseline measurements included age, socioeconomic status. Cancer stage at diagnosis was clustered as stage I, stage II-III and metastatic. Cox Proportional Hazards regression models were used to determine Hazards Ratios (HR) for mortality.
Between ages 65-69 and ≥85, metastatic disease rose from 3.9% to 23.4% and stage I disease declined from 58.6% to 30.1%. At age 80-84, 50% life expectancy among controls, stage I, and stage II-III disease was 95,92 and 90 months respectively, compared to 2 months for metastatic disease. Compared to controls, between the age 65-69 to ≥85, adjusted HR's progressively decreased among subjects with stage I from HR 0.96 (95% CI 0.69-1.33) to 0.60 (95%CI 0.36-1.01), stage II-III from HR 3.26 (95%CI2.58-4.12) to HR 1.60 (95%CI 1.22-2.09), and metastatic disease from HR 57.40 (95%CI 39.56-83.29) to HR 20.76 (95%CI 14.73-29.24).
This study describes the increasingly poor prognosis and short life expectancy observed among women aged ≥80 diagnosed with metastatic breast. In contrast, our findings confirm the positive prognosis associated with rising age, among older women presenting with stage I breast cancer, among whom survival was similar, if not slightly better, than non-cancer age matched controls.
描述在 65 岁以上被诊断患有乳腺癌的女性中,年龄增长与生存率之间的关系。
这是一项历史前瞻性队列研究,比较了 3270 名乳腺癌患者和 13163 名非癌症年龄匹配对照者。基础特征和癌症数据来自以色列中央统计局(1995 年)和以色列癌症登记处(2000-2010 年)。基线测量包括年龄、社会经济地位。诊断时的癌症分期为 I 期、II-III 期和转移性。使用 Cox 比例风险回归模型确定死亡率的风险比(HR)。
65-69 岁至≥85 岁时,转移性疾病从 3.9%上升到 23.4%,I 期疾病从 58.6%下降到 30.1%。在 80-84 岁时,对照组、I 期和 II-III 期疾病的 50%预期寿命分别为 95、92 和 90 个月,而转移性疾病为 2 个月。与对照组相比,在 65-69 岁至≥85 岁之间,I 期疾病的调整 HR 逐渐下降,从 HR 0.96(95%CI 0.69-1.33)降至 HR 0.60(95%CI 0.36-1.01),II-III 期疾病从 HR 3.26(95%CI 2.58-4.12)降至 HR 1.60(95%CI 1.22-2.09),转移性疾病从 HR 57.40(95%CI 39.56-83.29)降至 HR 20.76(95%CI 14.73-29.24)。
本研究描述了在 80 岁以上被诊断为转移性乳腺癌的女性中,预后越来越差,预期寿命越来越短。相比之下,我们的发现证实了随着年龄的增长,I 期乳腺癌老年女性的预后呈阳性,这些女性的生存情况与非癌症年龄匹配的对照者相似,如果不是稍好一些的话。