Risk Anal. 2018 Sep;38(9):1830-1846. doi: 10.1111/risa.12977. Epub 2018 Feb 26.
This article is a retrospective analysis of liquefied natural gas development (LNG) in Gladstone, Australia by using the structure of the risk governance framework developed by the International Risk Governance Council (IRGC). Since 2010 the port of Gladstone has undergone extensive expansion to facilitate the increasing coal export as well as the new development of three recently completed LNG facilities. Significant environmental and socio-economic impacts and concerns have occurred as a result of these developments. The overall aim of the article, therefore, is to identify the risk governance deficits that arose and to formulate processes capable of improving similar decision-making problems in the future. The structure of the IRGC framework is followed because it represents a broad analytical approach for considering risk assessment and risk governance in Gladstone in ways that include, but also go beyond, the risk approach of the ISO 31000:2009 standard that was employed at the time. The IRGC risk framework is argued to be a consistent and comprehensive risk governance framework that integrates scientific, economic, social, and cultural aspects and advocates the notion of inclusive risk governance through stakeholder communication and involvement. Key aspects related to risk preassessment, risk appraisal, risk tolerability and acceptability, risk management, and stakeholder communication and involvement are considered. The results indicate that the risk governance deficits include aspects related to (i) the risk matrix methodology, (ii) reflecting uncertainties, (iii) cumulative risks, (iv) the regulatory process, and (v) stakeholder communication and involvement.
本文通过采用国际风险治理委员会(IRGC)开发的风险治理框架结构,对澳大利亚格拉德斯通的液化天然气开发(LNG)进行了回顾性分析。自 2010 年以来,为了方便日益增加的煤炭出口以及最近完成的三个 LNG 设施的新开发,格拉德斯通港已经进行了广泛的扩建。这些发展导致了重大的环境和社会经济影响和问题。因此,本文的总体目标是确定出现的风险治理缺陷,并制定能够改进未来类似决策问题的流程。之所以遵循 IRGC 框架的结构,是因为它代表了一种广泛的分析方法,可以以包括但不限于当时使用的 ISO 31000:2009 标准的风险方法的方式,考虑格拉德斯通的风险评估和风险治理。IRGC 风险框架被认为是一个一致和全面的风险治理框架,它整合了科学、经济、社会和文化方面的内容,并通过利益相关者的沟通和参与来倡导包容性风险治理的概念。考虑了与风险预评估、风险评估、风险可容忍性和可接受性、风险管理以及利益相关者的沟通和参与相关的关键方面。结果表明,风险治理缺陷包括与 (i) 风险矩阵方法、(ii) 反映不确定性、(iii) 累积风险、(iv) 监管过程和 (v) 利益相关者的沟通和参与相关的方面。