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脆弱性评估包括指数构成中的有形和无形组成部分:亚马逊洪水和暴洪的案例研究。

Vulnerability assessment including tangible and intangible components in the index composition: An Amazon case study of flooding and flash flooding.

机构信息

Universidade Federal Rural da Amazônia, ICIBE/Engenharia ambiental, Avenida Presidente Tancredo Neves, N° 2501, Bairro: Terra Firme, Cep: 66.077-830, Cidade, Belém, Pará, Brazil.

Universidade Federal do Pará, Núcleo de Meio Ambiente, Rua Augusto Corrêa, 1, CEP: 66075-900, Belém, Pará, Brazil.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2018 Jul 15;630:903-912. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.02.271. Epub 2018 Mar 7.

Abstract

The vulnerability of cities and communities in the Amazon to flooding and flash flooding is increasing. The effects of extreme events on populations vary across landscapes, causing vulnerability to differ spatially. Traditional vulnerability studies in Brazil and across the world have used the vulnerability index for the country and, more recently, municipality scales. The vulnerability dimensions are exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. For each of these dimensions, there is a group of indicators that constitutes a vulnerability index using quantitative data. Several vulnerability assessments have used sensitivity and exposure analyses and, recently, adaptive capacity has been considered. The Geographical Information Systems (GIS) analysis allows spatial regional modeling using quantitative vulnerability indicators. This paper presents a local-scale vulnerability assessment in an urban Amazonian area, Santarém City, using interdisciplinary methods. Data for exposure and sensitivity were gathered by remote sensing and census data, respectively. However, adaptive capacity refers to local capacities, whether infrastructural or not, and the latter were gathered by qualitative participatory methods. For the mixed data used to study adaptive capacity, we consider tangible components for countable infrastructure that can cope with hazards, and intangible components that reflect social activities based on risk perceptions and collective action. The results indicate that over 80% of the area is highly or moderately vulnerable to flooding and flash flooding. Exposure and adaptive capacity were determinants of the results. Lower values of adaptive capacity play a significant role in vulnerability enhancement.

摘要

城市和社区在亚马逊地区面临洪水和暴洪的脆弱性日益增加。极端事件对人口的影响在景观上有所不同,导致脆弱性在空间上存在差异。巴西和世界各地的传统脆弱性研究使用了国家脆弱性指数,以及最近的市镇尺度脆弱性指数。脆弱性维度包括暴露度、敏感度和适应能力。对于每个维度,都有一组指标构成使用定量数据的脆弱性指数。有几项脆弱性评估使用了敏感度和暴露度分析,最近还考虑了适应能力。地理信息系统(GIS)分析允许使用定量脆弱性指标进行空间区域建模。本文采用跨学科方法,对亚马逊城市圣塔伦进行了局部尺度的脆弱性评估。暴露度和敏感度的数据分别通过遥感和人口普查数据收集。然而,适应能力是指地方能力,包括基础设施和非基础设施,后者通过定性参与式方法收集。对于用于研究适应能力的混合数据,我们考虑了可以应对灾害的有形基础设施的可计数部分,以及反映基于风险认知和集体行动的社会活动的无形部分。结果表明,超过 80%的地区高度或中度易受洪水和暴洪影响。暴露度和适应能力是结果的决定因素。适应能力较低的情况在脆弱性增加中起着重要作用。

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