Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610044, China.
Department of Tuberculosis, Sichuan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu 610041, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2018 Aug 1;631-632:47-55. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.03.017. Epub 2018 Mar 7.
Although a few studies have analyzed the associations between ambient air pollutants and the development of tuberculosis (TB), most have been conducted in the core countries with inconsistent results. In this study, we used a distributed lag non-linear model to investigate the associations between the newly diagnosed TB cases and daily exposure to particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of <10μm (PM), nitrogen dioxide (NO), and sulfur dioxide (SO) in Chengdu, a severely polluted city. There were 36,108 newly diagnosed active TB cases from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2015 in Chengdu. In a single-pollutant model, the cumulative relative risk of active TB cases was 1.06 [lag of 0 to 21days, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.11] for each 10μg/m increase in PM above the threshold of 70μg/m; 1.06 (lag of 0 to 2days, 95% CI: 1.03-1.09) for each 10μg/m increase in NO above the threshold of 40μg/m; and 1.07 (lag of 0 to 2days, 95% CI: 1.02-1.12) for each 10μg/m increase in SO above the threshold of 60μg/m. Meanwhile, we found a positive association in males after exposure to a 10μg/m increase in SO above the threshold of 60μg/m at a lag of 0 to 2days. Exposure to PM, NO, and SO was associated with an increment in the incidence of active TB cases.
尽管有一些研究分析了环境空气污染物与结核病(TB)发展之间的关联,但大多数研究都是在核心国家进行的,结果不一致。在这项研究中,我们使用分布滞后非线性模型来研究新诊断的结核病病例与每日暴露于空气动力学直径<10μm(PM)、二氧化氮(NO)和二氧化硫(SO)之间的关联在成都,一个污染严重的城市。2010 年 1 月 1 日至 2015 年 12 月 31 日,成都市共发现 36108 例新诊断的活动性结核病病例。在单污染物模型中,PM 每增加 10μg/m,超过 70μg/m 的阈值,活动性 TB 病例的累积相对风险为 1.06(滞后 0-21 天,95%置信区间(CI):1.01-1.11);NO 每增加 10μg/m,超过 40μg/m 的阈值,活性 TB 病例的累积相对风险为 1.06(滞后 0-2 天,95%CI:1.03-1.09);SO 每增加 10μg/m,超过 60μg/m 的阈值,活性 TB 病例的累积相对风险为 1.07(滞后 0-2 天,95%CI:1.02-1.12)。同时,我们发现,在接触超过 60μg/m 的 SO 阈值后 10μg/m 的 SO 时,男性在滞后 0-2 天内存在阳性关联。暴露于 PM、NO 和 SO 与活动性结核病病例发生率的增加有关。