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人体生物气象条件的运行预测。

Operational forecasting of human-biometeorological conditions.

机构信息

National Observatory of Athens, Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, Vas. Pavlou & I. Metaxa, 15236, Athens, Greece.

Research Center Human Biometeorology, Deutscher Wetterdienst, Freiburg, Germany.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2018 Jul;62(7):1339-1343. doi: 10.1007/s00484-018-1525-3. Epub 2018 Mar 12.

Abstract

This paper presents the development of an operational forecasting service focusing on human-biometeorological conditions. The service is based on the coupling of numerical weather prediction models with an advanced human-biometeorological model. Human thermal perception and stress forecasts are issued on a daily basis for Greece, in both point and gridded format. A user-friendly presentation approach is adopted for communicating the forecasts to the public via the worldwide web. The development of the presented service highlights the feasibility of replacing standard meteorological parameters and/or indices used in operational weather forecasting activities for assessing the thermal environment. This is of particular significance for providing effective, human-biometeorology-oriented, warnings for both heat waves and cold outbreaks.

摘要

本文提出了一种关注人体生物气象条件的业务预报服务的开发。该服务基于数值天气预报模型与先进的人体生物气象模型的耦合。针对希腊,以点和网格化格式提供每日人体热感觉和应激预报。采用用户友好的展示方法,通过万维网向公众发布预报。所提出服务的开发强调了在操作天气预报活动中替代用于评估热环境的标准气象参数和/或指数的可行性。这对于提供有效的、以人体生物气象学为导向的热浪和冷浪警报特别重要。

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