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SAMe-TT2R2 评分的临床实用性:系统评价和模拟荟萃分析。

Clinical usefulness of the SAMe-TT2R2 score: A systematic review and simulation meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Haematology, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.

Department of Internal Medicine, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2018 Mar 13;13(3):e0194208. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0194208. eCollection 2018.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Vitamin K antagonist (VKA) therapy is safer and more effective when patients have a high time within the therapeutic range and low international normalised ratio variability. The SAMe-TT2R2 score aims to identify those at risk for poor VKA control.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the predictive value and clinical usefulness of the SAMe-TT2R2 score to identify those at risk for poor VKA control.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review in MEDLINE and Embase for original research papers assessing the SAMe-TT2R2's relation to poor TTR. We performed a meta-analysis where scores ≥ 2 and ≥ 3 predicting TTR < 70%. When studies evaluated other cutoffs for TTR or SAMe-TT2R2, they were harmonised by multiple simulations with patient characteristics from the individual studies, if the data were available.

RESULTS

16 studies were identified and used in the meta-analysis: 4 and 2 times directly, 8 and 8 times harmonised for scores ≥ 2 and ≥ 3, respectively (not all studies provided information about both cutoffs). The sensitivities and specificities were too heterogeneous to pool. The positive likelihood ratios were 1.25 (1.14-1.38) for a score ≥ 2, and 1.24 (1.09-1.40) for a score ≥ 3; the negative ones were 0.87 (0.82-0.93) and 0.96 (0.91-1.02), respectively. This shows that the post-test probabilities hardly differ from the prior probability (prevalence).

CONCLUSION

The SAMe-TT2R2 score does predict low TTR, but the effect is small. Its effect on individual patients is too limited to be clinically useful.

摘要

背景

当患者的治疗时间窗内时间较高且国际标准化比值变异性较低时,维生素 K 拮抗剂(VKA)治疗更安全、更有效。SAMe-TT2R2 评分旨在识别那些 VKA 控制不良风险较高的患者。

目的

评估 SAMe-TT2R2 评分预测 VKA 控制不良风险的预测价值和临床实用性。

方法

我们在 MEDLINE 和 Embase 中进行了系统评价,以评估评估 SAMe-TT2R2 与较差 TTR 相关的原始研究论文。我们进行了荟萃分析,其中评分≥2 和≥3 预测 TTR<70%。当研究评估其他 TTR 或 SAMe-TT2R2 的截止值时,如果有数据可用,则使用来自各个研究的患者特征进行多次模拟以进行协调。

结果

确定了 16 项研究并用于荟萃分析:直接使用 4 次和 2 次,分别协调了 8 次和 8 次评分≥2 和≥3(并非所有研究都提供了这两个截止值的信息)。灵敏度和特异性差异太大,无法汇总。阳性似然比分别为评分≥2 时为 1.25(1.14-1.38),评分≥3 时为 1.24(1.09-1.40);阴性似然比分别为 0.87(0.82-0.93)和 0.96(0.91-1.02)。这表明后验概率与先验概率(患病率)几乎没有差异。

结论

SAMe-TT2R2 评分确实可以预测低 TTR,但效果很小。它对个体患者的影响太小,无法在临床上有用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97a7/5849337/a60e2daf8681/pone.0194208.g001.jpg

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