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2000年澳大利亚高山温度与积雪覆盖背景下的全球变暖

Global warming in the context of 2000 years of Australian alpine temperature and snow cover.

作者信息

McGowan Hamish, Callow John Nikolaus, Soderholm Joshua, McGrath Gavan, Campbell Micheline, Zhao Jian-Xin

机构信息

Atmospheric Observations Research Group, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, 4072, Australia.

UWA School of Agriculture and Environment, The University of Western Australia, Perth, 6009, Australia.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2018 Mar 13;8(1):4394. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-22766-z.

Abstract

Annual resolution reconstructions of alpine temperatures are rare, particularly for the Southern Hemisphere, while no snow cover reconstructions exist. These records are essential to place in context the impact of anthropogenic global warming against historical major natural climate events such as the Roman Warm Period (RWP), Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) and Little Ice Age (LIA). Here we show for a marginal alpine region of Australia using a carbon isotope speleothem reconstruction, warming over the past five decades has experienced equivalent magnitude of temperature change and snow cover decline to the RWP and MCA. The current rate of warming is unmatched for the past 2000 years and seasonal snow cover is at a minimum. On scales of several decades, mean maximum temperatures have undergone considerable change ≈ ± 0.8 °C highlighting local scale susceptibility to rapid temperature change, evidence of which is often masked in regional to hemisphere scale temperature reconstructions.

摘要

对高山温度进行年度分辨率重建的情况很少见,尤其是在南半球,而且目前还没有积雪覆盖情况的重建记录。这些记录对于了解人为全球变暖对历史上重大自然气候事件的影响至关重要,比如罗马暖期(RWP)、中世纪气候异常(MCA)和小冰期(LIA)。在这里,我们利用碳同位素洞穴沉积物重建方法,展示了澳大利亚一个边缘高山地区的情况,过去五十年来的变暖所经历的温度变化幅度和积雪覆盖减少情况与罗马暖期和中世纪气候异常相当。当前的变暖速度在过去2000年中是前所未有的,季节性积雪覆盖处于最低水平。在几十年的时间尺度上,平均最高温度经历了相当大的变化,约为±0.8°C,突出了当地尺度对快速温度变化的敏感性,而这种证据在区域到半球尺度的温度重建中常常被掩盖。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cb07/5849736/4caff0da1f70/41598_2018_22766_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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