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评估伊朗东南部沿海地区的气候对旅游业的影响:以恰巴哈尔港为例。

Evaluating the climate capabilities of the coastal areas of southeastern Iran for tourism: a case study on port of Chabahar.

机构信息

Department of Geography, Islamshahr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Islamshahr, Iran.

Department of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2018 Jul;62(7):1135-1145. doi: 10.1007/s00484-018-1516-4. Epub 2018 Mar 14.

DOI:10.1007/s00484-018-1516-4
PMID:29536264
Abstract

The present study aims to evaluate the influence of climate conditions on tourism in the port of Chabahar, southeastern Iran, using the climate comfort indices (CIT, PMV, and TCI) and the field data relative to the tourist satisfaction. According to the computed TCI, the autumn-winter season (October-April) is climatically favorable for tourism in Chabahar, but it is ideal during January to March. Based on the computed PMV index, the studied region is in the range of climate comfort in most parts of the year. However, when the PMV thermal comfort limits (- 0.5 < PMV < 0.5) and the PPD limits (0 < PPD < 10) are considered, only the March and November are included in the thermal comfort range. The CIT index also indicates that all months of the year are acceptable for tourism that does not coincide with the reality of the region. However, by blending the PMV and the tourist's degree of satisfaction, a slight modification was made to the CIT index to better represent the reality of the region regarding the climate comfort. The modified CIT gave a different result, reflecting the importance of tourists' perceptions in defining the climate comfort rather than merely relying on the climate variables. The modified CIT also suggests November-March as a period with favorable to ideal climate condition for tourism in Chabahar which is a more realistic assessment of climate condition of the region as perceived by the tourists interviewed.

摘要

本研究旨在利用气候舒适度指数(CIT、PMV 和 TCI)和与游客满意度相关的实地数据,评估气候条件对伊朗东南部恰巴哈尔港旅游业的影响。根据计算出的 TCI,秋冬季节(10 月至 4 月)对恰巴哈尔的旅游业气候有利,但最理想的季节是 1 月至 3 月。根据计算出的 PMV 指数,研究区域在一年中的大部分时间都处于气候舒适范围内。然而,当考虑 PMV 热舒适度极限(-0.5<PMV<0.5)和 PPD 极限(0<PPD<10)时,只有 3 月和 11 月被纳入热舒适度范围。CIT 指数还表明,一年中的所有月份都适合旅游,与该地区的实际情况并不相符。然而,通过融合 PMV 和游客的满意度,对 CIT 指数进行了轻微修正,以更好地反映该地区气候舒适度的实际情况。修正后的 CIT 给出了不同的结果,反映了游客对气候舒适度的看法在定义气候舒适度方面的重要性,而不仅仅是依赖于气候变量。修正后的 CIT 还表明,11 月至 3 月是恰巴哈尔旅游的气候条件有利到理想的时期,这是对游客调查所感知到的该地区气候条件的更现实评估。

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本文引用的文献

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The 2 °C global warming effect on summer European tourism through different indices.通过不同指标衡量的全球变暖2°C对欧洲夏季旅游业的影响。
Int J Biometeorol. 2016 Aug;60(8):1205-15. doi: 10.1007/s00484-015-1115-6. Epub 2015 Dec 4.
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Long-term trends in tourism climate index scores for 40 stations across Iran: the role of climate change and influence on tourism sustainability.伊朗40个站点旅游气候指数得分的长期趋势:气候变化的作用及其对旅游可持续性的影响
Int J Biometeorol. 2016 Jan;60(1):33-52. doi: 10.1007/s00484-015-1003-0. Epub 2015 May 9.
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在简单和复杂环境中模拟辐射通量:RayMan 模型基础。
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A second generation climate index for tourism (CIT): specification and verification.第二代旅游气候指数(CIT):规范与验证
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Int J Biometeorol. 1999 Oct;43(2):71-5. doi: 10.1007/s004840050118.