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丹麦全国队列研究中的急性肺栓塞:发病率上升,死亡率下降。

Acute Pulmonary Embolism in a National Danish Cohort: Increasing Incidence and Decreasing Mortality.

机构信息

Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Copenhagen University Hospital Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Department of Public Health, Section of Biostatistics, University of Copenhagen Denmark and Center for Statistical Science, Peking University, China.

出版信息

Thromb Haemost. 2018 Mar;118(3):539-546. doi: 10.1160/TH17-08-0531. Epub 2018 Feb 1.

Abstract

This study reports the incidence, clinical profile and mortality for acute pulmonary embolism (PE) patients in the Danish population in four eras from 2004 to 2014. Patients admitted with first-time acute PE from 2004 through 2014 were identified from national patient registries classified according to the International Classification of Diseases, 10th edition, World Health Organization. A total of 30,275 patients from a population of 4,301,673 adult residents aged 18 years or older were diagnosed with first-time acute PE, corresponding to an incidence of 64 (95% confidence interval: 61-66) per 100,000 adult residents per year. Throughout the study period, PE incidence increased from 45 to 83 per 100,000 adult residents. Age at disease onset also increased during the study period, rising from 67.1 to 68.0 ( = 0.002). Cancer was the most frequent concomitant diagnosis, with an incidence of 15.9%. Thoracic computed tomography and referral to specialized cardiac centres increased significantly throughout the study period. The 30- and 90-day mortality rates decreased between 2004 and 2014 from 17 to 11% and from 23 to 18% ( < 0.00), respectively. The 5-year mortality risk was reduced when comparing Era IV (2012-2014) with Era I (2004-2005), with a hazard ratio of 0.93 ( = 0.01). In Denmark, the annual incidence of acute PE has increased during the past decade from 45 to 83 per 100,000 adults with a significant decrease in both short- and long-term mortalities. In recent years, patients were more likely to be investigated with modern diagnostics and referred to cardiac centres for specialized treatment.

摘要

这项研究报告了 2004 年至 2014 年丹麦人群中四个时期急性肺栓塞(PE)患者的发病率、临床特征和死亡率。从国家患者登记处确定了 2004 年至 2014 年首次确诊为急性 PE 的患者,这些患者根据世界卫生组织 10 版国际疾病分类进行了分类。共有 30275 名年龄在 18 岁及以上的 4301673 名成年居民被诊断为首次急性 PE,发病率为每 10 万成年居民每年 64 例(95%置信区间:61-66)。在整个研究期间,PE 的发病率从 45 例/10 万上升到 83 例/10 万。发病年龄在研究期间也有所增加,从 67.1 岁上升到 68.0 岁( = 0.002)。癌症是最常见的合并诊断,发病率为 15.9%。整个研究期间,胸部计算机断层扫描和转诊至专门的心脏中心的比例显著增加。2004 年至 2014 年期间,30 天和 90 天死亡率分别从 17%降至 11%和从 23%降至 18%( < 0.00)。与第 I 期(2004-2005 年)相比,第 IV 期(2012-2014 年)的 5 年死亡率风险降低,风险比为 0.93( = 0.01)。在丹麦,过去十年中,每 10 万成年人中急性 PE 的年发病率从 45 例增加到 83 例,短期和长期死亡率均显著下降。近年来,更多的患者接受了现代诊断,并被转诊至心脏中心接受专门治疗。

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