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随访肌酐水平是肝硬化合并自发性细菌性腹膜炎患者住院死亡率的重要预测因素。

Follow-up Creatinine Level Is an Important Predictive Factor of In-hospital Mortality in Cirrhotic Patients with Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea.

Institute for Digestive Research and Digestive Disease Center, Department of Internal Medicine, Soonchunhyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.

出版信息

J Korean Med Sci. 2018 Mar 19;33(12):e99. doi: 10.3346/jkms.2018.33.e99.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is one of the severe complications of liver cirrhosis. Early detection of high-risk patients is essential for prognostic improvement. The aim of this study is to investigate the predictive factors related to in-hospital mortality in patients with SBP.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of 233 SBP patients (181 males, 52 females) who were admitted to four tertiary referral hospitals between August 2002 and February 2013. The patients' laboratory and radiologic data were obtained from medical records. The Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score and model for end-stage liver disease sodium model (MELD-Na) scores were calculated using the laboratory data recorded at the time of the SBP episode.

RESULTS

The causes of liver cirrhosis were hepatitis B (44.6%), alcohol (43.8%), hepatitis C (6.0%), and cryptogenic cirrhosis (5.6%). The mean MELD-Na and CTP scores were 27.1 and 10.7, respectively. Thirty-one of the patients (13.3%) died from SBP in hospital. Multivariate analysis revealed that maximum creatinine level during treatment was a statistically significant factor for in-hospital mortality (P = 0.005). The prognostic accuracy of the maximum creatinine level during treatment was 78.0% (P < 0.001). The optimal cutoff point for the maximum serum creatinine was 2 mg/dL (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The follow-up creatinine level during treatment is an important predictive factor of in-hospital mortality in cirrhotic patients with SBP. Patients with SBP and a serum creatinine level during treatment of ≥ 2.0 mg/dL might have a high risk of in-hospital mortality.

摘要

背景

自发性细菌性腹膜炎(SBP)是肝硬化的严重并发症之一。早期发现高危患者对于改善预后至关重要。本研究旨在探讨与 SBP 患者住院死亡率相关的预测因素。

方法

这是一项回顾性研究,纳入了 2002 年 8 月至 2013 年 2 月期间在四家三级转诊医院住院的 233 例 SBP 患者(男性 181 例,女性 52 例)。患者的实验室和影像学数据来自病历。使用 SBP 发作时记录的实验室数据计算 Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP)评分和终末期肝病模型钠模型(MELD-Na)评分。

结果

肝硬化的病因包括乙型肝炎(44.6%)、酒精(43.8%)、丙型肝炎(6.0%)和隐源性肝硬化(5.6%)。患者的平均 MELD-Na 和 CTP 评分为 27.1 和 10.7。31 例(13.3%)患者死于 SBP 院内感染。多变量分析显示,治疗期间的最大肌酐水平是住院死亡率的统计学显著因素(P = 0.005)。治疗期间最大肌酐水平的预后准确性为 78.0%(P < 0.001)。最佳最大血清肌酐截断值为 2mg/dL(P < 0.001)。

结论

治疗期间的随访肌酐水平是肝硬化合并 SBP 患者住院死亡率的重要预测因素。治疗期间血清肌酐水平≥2.0mg/dL 的 SBP 患者可能有较高的住院死亡率风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5e75/5852424/7aed70ed99d7/jkms-33-e99-g001.jpg

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