Agència de Salut Pública de Barcelona, Plaça Lesseps 1, 08023, Barcelona, Spain.
CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain.
Int J Public Health. 2019 Jan;64(1):27-37. doi: 10.1007/s00038-018-1094-6. Epub 2018 Mar 26.
To analyse social inequalities in the association between ambient temperature and mortality by sex, age and educational level, in the city of Barcelona for the period 1992-2015.
Mortality data are represented by daily counts for natural mortality. As a measure of socioeconomic position, we used the educational level of the deceased. We also considered age group and sex. We considered, as a measure of exposure, the daily maximum temperatures. Time-series Poisson regression with distributed lag non-linear models was fitted for modelling the relationship between temperature and mortality.
Women had higher risk of mortality by hot temperatures than men. Temperature-mortality association (heat and cold) was evident for the elderly, except for heat-related mortality in women which was present in all age groups. Men with primary education or more were more vulnerable to moderate or extreme temperatures than those without studies. Finally, women were vulnerable to heat-related mortality in all educational levels while women without studies were more vulnerable to cold temperatures.
Social and economic individual characteristics play an important role in vulnerability to high and low temperatures. It is important that decision-making groups consider identified vulnerable subgroups when redacting and implementing climate change resilience and adaptation plans.
分析 1992-2015 年巴塞罗那市环境温度与死亡率之间关联的性别、年龄和教育水平方面的社会不平等。
死亡率数据以自然死亡率的日计数表示。作为社会经济地位的衡量标准,我们使用了死者的教育水平。我们还考虑了年龄组和性别。我们将每日最高温度视为暴露的衡量标准。采用时间序列泊松回归分布滞后非线性模型拟合温度与死亡率之间的关系。
女性在高温下的死亡率风险高于男性。对于老年人来说,高温与死亡率之间的关联(热和冷)是明显的,但女性的热相关死亡率则存在于所有年龄组中。与没有学历的人相比,受过小学或更高教育的男性更容易受到中温和极端温度的影响。最后,女性在所有教育水平下都容易受到热相关死亡率的影响,而没有学历的女性更容易受到低温的影响。
社会和经济个体特征在对高温和低温的脆弱性方面起着重要作用。在制定和实施气候变化适应和缓解计划时,决策群体考虑到确定的脆弱亚组是很重要的。