Department of Experimental and Health Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.
Agència de Salut Pública de Barcelona, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.
Int J Epidemiol. 2017 Aug 1;46(4):1192-1201. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyw335.
Interventions to mitigate fuel poverty and particularly energy efficiency façade retrofitting (EEFR) have demonstrated positive impacts on health but the impacts of EEFR interventions on cold-related mortality have not been studied in depth. We evaluated the impact of EEFR interventions in Barcelona on the association between cold outdoor temperatures and mortality (from all natural causes and from neoplasms, circulatory system and respiratory system causes) from 1986 to 2012.
A time-stratified case-crossover analysis was used. Relative risks (RR) for death related to extreme cold (lowest fifth percentile) in the no-intervention and intervention groups were obtained for temperature lag windows covering the day of the death and the previous 20 days (0-2, 3-5, 6-8, 9-11, 12-14, 15-17, 18-20). The statistical significance of the observed changes was evaluated using the RR for the cold temperature-intervention interaction.
In men, interventions significantly increased the extreme cold-death association for the lag window 15-17 [interaction RR 2.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-4.36]. The impacts were stronger for respiratory system causes and in men aged 75 or older. In women, on lag window 0-2, the extreme cold-death association was not significantly reduced when analysing all natural causes of death (interaction RR 0.46, 95% CI 0.21-1.01), but it was reduced significantly when analysing only deaths from neoplasms, circulatory system and respiratory system causes together. The impacts were stronger in women who died from circulatory system causes, in women with no education and in those aged 75 or older.
EEFR interventions had differentiated effects on cold-related mortality in men and women. Differentiated effects were also observed by cause, educational level and age.
干预措施,以减轻燃料贫困,特别是能源效率外墙改造(EEFR)已证明对健康有积极影响,但 EEFR 干预措施对寒冷相关死亡率的影响尚未深入研究。我们评估了巴塞罗那的 EEFR 干预措施对 1986 年至 2012 年期间寒冷室外温度与死亡率(所有自然原因和肿瘤、循环系统和呼吸系统原因)之间关联的影响。
采用时间分层病例交叉分析。对于无干预组和干预组,在死亡当天及前 20 天(0-2、3-5、6-8、9-11、12-14、15-17、18-20)的温度滞后窗口中,获得与极寒(最低五分之一)相关的死亡的相对风险(RR)。使用寒冷温度-干预相互作用的 RR 评估观察到的变化的统计显著性。
在男性中,干预措施显著增加了滞后窗口 15-17 时极寒死亡的关联[交互 RR 2.23,95%置信区间(CI)1.14-4.36]。对于呼吸系统原因和 75 岁或以上的男性,影响更强。在女性中,在滞后窗口 0-2 时,当分析所有自然原因的死亡时,极寒死亡的关联没有显著降低(交互 RR 0.46,95%CI 0.21-1.01),但当仅分析肿瘤、循环系统和呼吸系统原因一起死亡时,关联显著降低。在因循环系统原因而死亡的女性、没有受过教育的女性和 75 岁或以上的女性中,影响更强。
EEFR 干预措施对男性和女性的寒冷相关死亡率有不同的影响。还观察到按病因、教育程度和年龄的差异影响。