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2013 - 2017年国家冰球联盟赛季中脑震荡发生率和严重程度的影响因素

Modifying Factors for Concussion Incidence and Severity in the 2013-2017 National Hockey League Seasons.

作者信息

Adams Ryan, Li Adam Y, Dai Jennifer B, Haider Syed, Lau George K, Cheung Kevin P, Post Alexander F, Gometz Alex, Choudhri Tanvir F

机构信息

Neurosurgery, The Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, USA.

Miscellaneous, Touro College of Medicine, Bronx, USA.

出版信息

Cureus. 2018 Oct 31;10(10):e3530. doi: 10.7759/cureus.3530.

Abstract

Introduction In the past few years, there has been a rising interest in both the prevalence and the short- and long-term consequences of concussions. While the main focus of concussion-based research revolves around the National Football League (NFL), attention is now shifting to other high contact leagues like the National Hockey League (NHL), where there is constant player-to-player contact as well as collisions with the perimeter boards. While the body of evidence surrounding injury and concussion rates in the NHL has substantially grown in size over the previous few years, there is still a void pertaining to the in-game effects that could modulate concussion incidence. Our study takes a novel approach to evaluate several "style of play" factors such as home/away perspective, win/loss outcome, points scored, real time length of game, time of season, and player position in modulating concussion rates. Methods Data on concussion incidence for the 2013-2017 National Hockey League seasons was collected utilizing FOX Sports injury tracker. Only injuries specifically diagnosed as concussions during regular and postseason games were utilized in our data set. A Google search on the reported injury was performed in order to correlate the concussion to the correct game in which the player sustained it. NHL season schedules were acquired through the online source "Hockey Reference." There were a total of 5281 games when considering the regular and postseason games between the 2013-2017 seasons. Concussions sustained during team practices and preseason contests were not accounted for in our data set to control for inconsistent reporting. Our data set does not account for the current 2017-2018 NHL expansion with the addition of a Las Vegas team to the league. Results Statistical analysis of several "Style of Play" factors such as home/away perspective, win/loss outcome, points scored, real time length of game and time of season produced non-significant results pertaining to modulating concussion rate during the 2013-2017 NHL seasons. When evaluating on-ice position we noted offensive players combined to have the highest rate of concussion. Forwards (left wing (LW), right wing (RW)) demonstrated similar concussion rates, while goalies encountered the lowest concussion rate. Conclusion The results of our analysis demonstrated non-significance for home/away effects, win/loss results, average points scored, real time length of game, and time of season on influencing concussion rates. We noted offensive players combined to have the highest rate of concussions, while goalies encountered the least. The key limitation in our data set is the lack of reliable and publicly available data surrounding concussion incidence in the National Hockey League. Due to this drawback, our data set should be considered as an under-reported representation of the total amount of concussions spanning the 2013-2017 seasons.

摘要

引言 在过去几年中,人们对脑震荡的患病率以及短期和长期后果的关注度不断提高。虽然基于脑震荡的研究主要集中在美国国家橄榄球联盟(NFL),但现在注意力正转向其他高身体接触的联盟,如国家冰球联盟(NHL),在该联盟中球员之间不断有身体接触,同时还会与周边的挡板发生碰撞。尽管在过去几年里,关于NHL中受伤和脑震荡发生率的证据体量大幅增加,但在可能调节脑震荡发生率的比赛内影响因素方面仍存在空白。我们的研究采用了一种新颖的方法来评估几个“比赛风格”因素,如主客场视角、胜负结果、得分、比赛实时时长、赛季时间以及球员位置对脑震荡发生率的调节作用。

方法 利用FOX体育伤病追踪器收集了2013 - 2017年国家冰球联盟赛季的脑震荡发生率数据。我们的数据集中仅使用了在常规赛和季后赛中被明确诊断为脑震荡的伤病情况。对报告的伤病进行了谷歌搜索,以便将脑震荡与球员受伤的正确比赛关联起来。NHL赛季赛程通过在线来源“曲棍球参考”获取。考虑到2013 - 2017赛季的常规赛和季后赛,总共有5281场比赛。我们的数据集中未计入球队训练和季前赛期间发生的脑震荡,以控制报告不一致的情况。我们的数据集中没有考虑到2017 - 2018年NHL的扩军情况,即联盟新增了一支拉斯维加斯球队。

结果 对几个“比赛风格”因素进行统计分析,如主客场视角、胜负结果、得分、比赛实时时长和赛季时间,结果显示在2013 - 2017年NHL赛季中,这些因素对调节脑震荡发生率没有显著影响。在评估场上位置时,我们注意到进攻球员的脑震荡发生率总体最高。前锋(左翼(LW)、右翼(RW))的脑震荡发生率相似,而守门员的脑震荡发生率最低。

结论 我们的分析结果表明,主客场效应、胜负结果、平均得分、比赛实时时长和赛季时间对脑震荡发生率的影响不显著。我们注意到进攻球员的脑震荡发生率总体最高,而守门员的脑震荡发生率最低。我们数据集的关键局限性在于缺乏关于国家冰球联盟脑震荡发生率的可靠且公开可用的数据。由于这一缺陷,我们的数据集应被视为2013 - 2017赛季脑震荡总数的报告不完整的情况。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/17e1/6318084/4efc79a180e2/cureus-0010-00000003530-i01.jpg

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