Nakamura T, Kamiya K, Matsunaga A, Hamazaki N, Matsuzawa R, Nozaki K, Tanaka S, Yamashita M, Maekawa E, Noda C, Yamaoka-Tojo M, Masuda T, Ako J
Department of Rehabilitation Sciences, Kitasato University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Sagamihara, Japan.
Department of Rehabilitation Sciences, Kitasato University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Sagamihara, Japan; Department of Rehabilitation, Kitasato University School of Allied Health Sciences, Sagamihara, Japan.
Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2018 Jul;28(7):743-748. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2018.02.015. Epub 2018 Mar 2.
Arm circumference (AC) and nutritional screening tools have been shown to have prognostic capability in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aimed to compare the prognostic predictive capabilities of AC and nutritional screening tools in older patients with CVD.
The study population consisted of 949 admitted patients ≥60 years old with CVD. Patients underwent AC measurement and nutritional screening before hospital discharge. We used the controlling nutritional status index (CONUT), the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI), and the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) as nutritional screening tools. The end point of the study was all-cause mortality. The mean age of the study population was 72.3 ± 7.2 years, and 68.2% of the patients were male. A total of 130 deaths occurred over a median follow-up period of 2.2 years (interquartile range, 1.1-3.8 years). After adjusting for other prognostic factors, AC (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.59; p < 0.001), CONUT (HR: 0.82; p = 0.016), GNRI (HR: 0.77; p = 0.040), and PNI (HR: 0.80; p = 0.014) were significant predictors of mortality. However, adding AC to the multivariate-adjusted model (0.739 vs. 0.714, respectively; p = 0.037), but not CONUT, GNRI, or PNI (0.724, 0.717, and 0.723 vs. 0.714; p = 0.072, p = 0.306, and p = 0.127, respectively), significantly increased the area under the curve on receiver operating characteristic curve.
AC, but not nutritional screening tools, plays a complementary role to preexisting prognostic factors for predicting prognosis in older patients with CVD.
已有研究表明,臂围(AC)和营养筛查工具对心血管疾病(CVD)患者具有预后预测能力。本研究旨在比较AC和营养筛查工具对老年CVD患者的预后预测能力。
研究对象为949例年龄≥60岁的CVD住院患者。患者在出院前接受了AC测量和营养筛查。我们使用控制营养状况指数(CONUT)、老年营养风险指数(GNRI)和预后营养指数(PNI)作为营养筛查工具。研究的终点为全因死亡率。研究人群的平均年龄为72.3±7.2岁,68.2%的患者为男性。在中位随访期2.2年(四分位间距,1.1 - 3.8年)内,共发生130例死亡。在调整其他预后因素后,AC(风险比[HR]:0.59;p<0.001)、CONUT(HR:0.82;p = 0.016)、GNRI(HR:0.77;p = 0.040)和PNI(HR:0.80;p = 0.014)均为死亡率的显著预测因素。然而,将AC添加到多变量调整模型中(分别为0.739对0.714;p = 0.037),但CONUT、GNRI或PNI未显示此效果(分别为0.724、0.717和0.723对0.714;p = 0.072、p = 0.306和p = 0.127),显著增加了受试者工作特征曲线下面积。
对于预测老年CVD患者的预后,AC而非营养筛查工具对已有的预后因素起到补充作用。