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海平面上升对疾病传播的可能影响及潜在适应策略综述。

Possible impacts of sea level rise on disease transmission and potential adaptation strategies, a review.

机构信息

Dept. of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL, USA.

Dept. of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL, USA.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2018 Jul 1;217:951-968. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.03.102. Epub 2018 Apr 24.

Abstract

Sea levels are projected to rise in response to climate change, causing the intrusion of sea water into land. In flat coastal regions, this would generate an increase in shallow water covered areas with limited circulation. This scenario raises a concern about the consequences it could have on human health, specifically the possible impacts on disease transmission. In this review paper we identified three categories of diseases which are associated with water and whose transmission can be affected by sea level rise. These categories include: mosquitoborne diseases, naturalized organisms (Vibrio spp. and toxic algae), and fecal-oral diseases. For each disease category, we propose comprehensive adaptation strategies that would help minimize possible health risks. Finally, the City of Key West, Florida is analyzed as a case study, due to its inherent vulnerability to sea level rise. Current and projected adaptation techniques are discussed as well as the integration of additional recommendations, focused on disease transmission control. Given that sea level rise will likely continue into the future, the promotion and implementation of positive adaptation strategies is necessary to ensure community resilience.

摘要

海平面预计将因气候变化而上升,导致海水侵入陆地。在沿海平坦地区,这将导致浅水区覆盖面积增加,而这些区域的循环有限。这种情况引起了人们对其可能对人类健康造成的后果的关注,特别是对疾病传播的可能影响。在这篇综述论文中,我们确定了与水有关的三类疾病,其传播可能会受到海平面上升的影响。这些类别包括:蚊媒疾病、归化生物(弧菌属和有毒藻类)和粪口疾病。对于每一种疾病类别,我们提出了全面的适应策略,以帮助将可能的健康风险降到最低。最后,佛罗里达州的基韦斯特市被分析为一个案例研究,因为它容易受到海平面上升的影响。讨论了当前和预计的适应技术,以及整合了其他重点关注疾病传播控制的建议。鉴于海平面上升很可能会持续到未来,促进和实施积极的适应策略对于确保社区的弹性是必要的。

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