United States Army Corp of Engineers, USA.
U.S. Geological Survey, Nebraska Cooperative Fish & Wildlife Research Unit, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, USA.
Risk Anal. 2018 Sep;38(9):1772-1780. doi: 10.1111/risa.12991. Epub 2018 Apr 25.
Regulatory agencies have long adopted a three-tier framework for risk assessment. We build on this structure to propose a tiered approach for resilience assessment that can be integrated into the existing regulatory processes. Comprehensive approaches to assessing resilience at appropriate and operational scales, reconciling analytical complexity as needed with stakeholder needs and resources available, and ultimately creating actionable recommendations to enhance resilience are still lacking. Our proposed framework consists of tiers by which analysts can select resilience assessment and decision support tools to inform associated management actions relative to the scope and urgency of the risk and the capacity of resource managers to improve system resilience. The resilience management framework proposed is not intended to supplant either risk management or the many existing efforts of resilience quantification method development, but instead provide a guide to selecting tools that are appropriate for the given analytic need. The goal of this tiered approach is to intentionally parallel the tiered approach used in regulatory contexts so that resilience assessment might be more easily and quickly integrated into existing structures and with existing policies.
监管机构长期以来一直采用三层框架进行风险评估。我们在此基础上提出了一种分层方法来评估弹性，该方法可以整合到现有的监管流程中。在适当的和可操作的规模上综合评估弹性，根据需要协调分析的复杂性以及利益相关者的需求和可用资源，并最终提出增强弹性的可行建议，这些方面仍有所欠缺。我们提出的框架由各个层次组成，分析师可以根据这些层次选择弹性评估和决策支持工具，以便根据风险的范围和紧迫性以及资源管理者提高系统弹性的能力来为相关管理行动提供信息。所提出的弹性管理框架并非旨在取代风险管理或许多现有的弹性量化方法开发工作，而是提供一个选择适当工具的指南，以满足特定的分析需求。这种分层方法的目的是有意与监管环境中使用的分层方法保持一致，以便更轻松、更快速地将弹性评估纳入现有的结构和政策中。
