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法国室内氡气对健康的定量影响。

Quantitative health impact of indoor radon in France.

作者信息

Ajrouche Roula, Roudier Candice, Cléro Enora, Ielsch Géraldine, Gay Didier, Guillevic Jérôme, Marant Micallef Claire, Vacquier Blandine, Le Tertre Alain, Laurier Dominique

机构信息

Institute for Radiological Protection and Nuclear Safety, 31 Avenue de la Division Leclerc, 92262, Fontenay-aux-Roses Cedex, France.

Santé Publique France, 12 Rue du Val d'Osne, 94415, Saint-Maurice Cedex, France.

出版信息

Radiat Environ Biophys. 2018 Aug;57(3):205-214. doi: 10.1007/s00411-018-0741-x. Epub 2018 May 8.

Abstract

Radon is the second leading cause of lung cancer after smoking. Since the previous quantitative risk assessment of indoor radon conducted in France, input data have changed such as, estimates of indoor radon concentrations, lung cancer rates and the prevalence of tobacco consumption. The aim of this work was to update the risk assessment of lung cancer mortality attributable to indoor radon in France using recent risk models and data, improving the consideration of smoking, and providing results at a fine geographical scale. The data used were population data (2012), vital statistics on death from lung cancer (2008-2012), domestic radon exposure from a recent database that combines measurement results of indoor radon concentration and the geogenic radon potential map for France (2015), and smoking prevalence (2010). The risk model used was derived from a European epidemiological study, considering that lung cancer risk increased by 16% per 100 becquerels per cubic meter (Bq/m) indoor radon concentration. The estimated number of lung cancer deaths attributable to indoor radon exposure is about 3000 (1000; 5000), which corresponds to about 10% of all lung cancer deaths each year in France. About 33% of lung cancer deaths attributable to radon are due to exposure levels above 100 Bq/m. Considering the combined effect of tobacco and radon, the study shows that 75% of estimated radon-attributable lung cancer deaths occur among current smokers, 20% among ex-smokers and 5% among never-smokers. It is concluded that the results of this study, which are based on precise estimates of indoor radon concentrations at finest geographical scale, can serve as a basis for defining French policy against radon risk.

摘要

氡是仅次于吸烟的第二大致肺癌因素。自法国上次对室内氡进行定量风险评估以来,输入数据已发生变化,例如室内氡浓度估计值、肺癌发病率和烟草消费流行率。这项工作的目的是使用最新的风险模型和数据更新法国因室内氡导致肺癌死亡的风险评估,改进对吸烟因素的考量,并在精细的地理尺度上提供结果。所使用的数据包括人口数据(2012年)、肺癌死亡的生命统计数据(2008 - 2012年)、来自最近一个数据库的家庭氡暴露数据,该数据库结合了室内氡浓度测量结果和法国的地质成因氡潜力图(2015年)以及吸烟流行率(2010年)。所使用的风险模型源自一项欧洲流行病学研究,该研究认为每立方米室内氡浓度每增加100贝克勒尔(Bq/m),肺癌风险增加16%。估计因室内氡暴露导致的肺癌死亡人数约为3000人(1000人;5000人),这约占法国每年所有肺癌死亡人数的10%。约33%的因氡导致的肺癌死亡是由于暴露水平高于100 Bq/m。考虑到烟草和氡的综合影响,该研究表明,估计因氡导致的肺癌死亡中有75%发生在当前吸烟者中,20%发生在前吸烟者中,5%发生在从不吸烟者中。得出的结论是,这项基于精细地理尺度上室内氡浓度精确估计的研究结果,可作为制定法国应对氡风险政策的依据。

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