Department of Sociology, Eötvös Loránd University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Budapest 1056, Hungary.
Eotvos Lorand TudOmanyegyetem, Budapest, Hungary.
Rev Environ Health. 2018 Jun 27;33(2):213-217. doi: 10.1515/reveh-2017-0039.
Findings concerning the effects of moon phases and sun activity on suicide are mixed in the international literature.
Our aim was to examine the hypothesised effects according to gender and age on Hungarian data covering more than 30 years.
Time series ARIMA models and dynamic regression models were applied in our analysis.
Among women aged 20-49 years, a significant increase in the risk of suicide has been observed during proton solar events. At the same time, among women aged 50-59 years a slight but significant decrease has been identified in the risk of suicide during magnetic storms and full moons.
Proton solar events, geomagnetic storms and moon phases caused changes in the risk of suicide in certain age groups in the case of women only.
关于月亮相位和太阳活动对自杀影响的研究结果在国际文献中存在差异。
我们旨在根据性别和年龄，利用涵盖 30 多年的数据，检验在匈牙利假设的影响。
我们的分析采用了时间序列 ARIMA 模型和动态回归模型。
在 20-49 岁的女性中，在质子太阳事件期间，自杀风险显著增加。与此同时，在 50-59 岁的女性中，在磁暴和满月期间，自杀风险略有但显著降低。
只有在女性中，质子太阳事件、地磁暴和月相变化会导致某些年龄组自杀风险的变化。
