Department of Pediatrics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Biostatistical Design and Analysis Center, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2018 May 29;71(21):2434-2446. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2018.03.491.
Congenital heart surgery has improved the survival of patients with even the most complex defects, but the long-term survival after these procedures has not been fully described.
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the long-term survival of patients (age <21 years) who were operated on for congenital heart defects (CHDs).
This study used the Pediatric Cardiac Care Consortium data, a U.S.-based, multicenter registry of pediatric cardiac surgery. Survival analysis included 35,998 patients who survived their first congenital heart surgery at <21 years of age and had adequate identifiers for linkage with the National Death Index through 2014. Survival was compared to that in the general population using standardized mortality ratios (SMRs).
After a median follow-up of 18 years (645,806 person-years), 3,191 deaths occurred with an overall SMR of 8.3 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 8.0 to 8.7). The 15-year SMR decreased from 12.7 (95% CI: 11.9 to 13.6) in the early era (1982 to 1992) to 10.0 (95% CI: 9.3 to 10.8) in the late era (1998 to 2003). The SMR remained elevated even for mild forms of CHD such as patent ductus arteriosus (SMR 4.5) and atrial septal defects (SMR 4.9). The largest decreases in SMR occurred for patients with transposition of great arteries (early: 11.0 vs. late: 3.8; p < 0.05), complete atrioventricular canal (31.3 vs. 15.3; p < 0.05), and single ventricle (53.7 vs. 31.3; p < 0.05).
In this large U.S. cohort, long-term mortality after congenital heart surgery was elevated across all forms of CHD. Survival has improved over time, particularly for severe defects with significant changes in their management strategy, but still lags behind the general population.
即使是最复杂的先天性心脏缺陷,先天性心脏手术也提高了患者的生存率,但这些手术的长期生存率尚未得到充分描述。
本研究旨在评估接受先天性心脏缺陷(CHD)手术治疗的患者(年龄<21 岁)的长期生存率。
本研究使用了美国多中心儿科心脏手术协会的数据,这是一个基于美国的儿科心脏手术登记处。生存分析包括了 35998 名在 21 岁之前接受了第一次先天性心脏手术且有足够标识符与国家死亡指数(National Death Index)链接的患者,随访时间中位数为 18 年(645806 人年)。通过标准化死亡率比(SMR)将生存率与普通人群进行比较。
中位随访 18 年后,共有 3191 例死亡,总 SMR 为 8.3(95%置信区间:8.0 至 8.7)。15 年 SMR 从早期(1982 年至 1992 年)的 12.7(95%置信区间:11.9 至 13.6)降至晚期(1998 年至 2003 年)的 10.0(95%置信区间:9.3 至 10.8)。即使是轻度 CHD,如动脉导管未闭(SMR 4.5)和房间隔缺损(SMR 4.9),SMR 仍然升高。SMR 下降最大的是大动脉转位患者(早期:11.0 与晚期:3.8;p<0.05)、完全性房室通道(31.3 与 15.3;p<0.05)和单心室(53.7 与 31.3;p<0.05)。
在这项美国大型队列研究中,先天性心脏手术后的长期死亡率在所有类型的 CHD 中均升高。随着时间的推移,生存率有所提高,特别是对于严重缺陷,其治疗策略发生了重大变化,但仍落后于普通人群。