Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
AIDS. 2018 Jul 17;32(11):1499-1505. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000001832.
Few studies have examined condom effectiveness for HIV prevention among MSM. We estimated condom effectiveness per partner in four cohorts of MSM during 1993-2003 (JumpStart, Vaccine Preparedness Study, VAX004 and Project Explore).
We used logistic regression to estimate the increase in odds of new HIV infection per HIV-positive partner for condom-protected receptive anal intercourse (PRAI; partners with whom condoms were always used) and condomless (unprotected) receptive anal intercourse (URAI; partners with whom condoms were sometimes or never used). To estimate condom effectiveness for preventing HIV transmission, we applied the concept of excess odds, the odds ratio minus 1. The condom failure rate was estimated as the excess odds per PRAI partner divided by the excess odds per URAI partner. Condom effectiveness was then 1 minus the failure rate.
The excess odds of HIV infection per HIV-positive partner were 83% for URAI and 7% for PRAI. The resulting failure rate (9%) indicated per-partner condom effectiveness of 91% (95% confidence interval 69-101).
The increase in odds of new HIV infection per HIV-positive partner for receptive anal intercourse was reduced by 91% for each partner with whom condoms were always used.
很少有研究调查男男性行为者(MSM)中避孕套在预防 HIV 方面的有效性。我们在四个 MSM 队列中(JumpStart、疫苗准备研究、VAX004 和 Project Explore),估计了 1993 年至 2003 年间每个性伴侣的避孕套有效性。
我们使用逻辑回归估计了 HIV 阳性性伴侣每增加一个时,使用避孕套的接受性肛交(PRAI;始终使用避孕套的伴侣)和无保护的接受性肛交(URAI;有时或从不使用避孕套的伴侣)的 HIV 新发感染的可能性增加。为了估计避孕套预防 HIV 传播的有效性,我们应用了多余优势的概念,即优势比减去 1。避孕套失败率估计为 PRAI 性伴侣的多余优势除以 URAI 性伴侣的多余优势。然后,避孕套的有效性为 1 减去失败率。
URAI 的 HIV 感染优势比为 83%,PRAI 的优势比为 7%。由此产生的失败率(9%)表明,每个使用避孕套的性伴侣的避孕套有效性为 91%(95%置信区间 69-101)。
对于每次始终使用避孕套的性伴侣,接受性肛交中 HIV 感染新发病例的优势比增加了 91%。