Division of Intramural Population Health Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD.
Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Aug 1;187(8):1595-1597. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy108.
This commentary reflects on a natural experiment reported by Casey et al. (Am J Epidemiol. 2018;187(8):1586-1594) that tested the association between living near a coal or oil power plant and preterm birth. They found that retiring power plants resulted in a significant reduction in preterm birth, with larger effects observed for late preterm birth and among non-Hispanic black mothers and infants. Natural experiments, in particular the Utah Valley Steel Mill closure, have played a prominent role in the evidence base for air pollution regulation due to their demonstrated impact on cardiopulmonary effects in adults. Reproductive health, including infant mortality and preterm birth associated with poor air quality, has generally received less attention. Even small reductions in preterm birth can have a large population health impact, both in terms of preventing mortality in the short-term an in preventing lifelong disability among affected infants.
本评论反思了 Casey 等人报道的一项自然实验(Am J Epidemiol. 2018;187(8):1586-1594),该实验测试了居住在燃煤或燃油电厂附近与早产之间的关联。他们发现,退役电厂显著降低了早产率,晚期早产和非西班牙裔黑人母亲和婴儿的效果更为明显。自然实验,特别是犹他谷钢铁厂关闭,由于其对成人心肺影响的明显影响,在空气污染法规的证据基础中发挥了突出作用。生殖健康,包括与空气质量差相关的婴儿死亡率和早产,通常受到的关注较少。即使早产率略有下降,也会对人群健康产生重大影响,无论是在预防短期死亡率方面,还是在预防受影响婴儿的终身残疾方面。