Division of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California.
Preterm Birth Initiative, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California.
Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Aug 1;187(8):1586-1594. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy110.
Coal and oil power plant retirements reduce air pollution nearby, but few studies have leveraged these natural experiments for public health research. We used California Department of Public Health birth records and US Energy Information Administration data from 2001-2011 to evaluate the relationship between the retirements of 8 coal and oil power plants and nearby preterm (gestational age of <37 weeks) birth. We conducted a difference-in-differences analysis using adjusted linear mixed models that included 57,005 births-6.3% of which were preterm-to compare the probability of preterm birth before and after power plant retirement among mothers residing within 0-5 km and 5-10 km of the 8 power plants. We found that power plant retirements were associated with a decrease in the proportion of preterm birth within 5 km (-0.019, 95% CI: -0.031, -0.008) and 5-10 km (-0.015, 95% CI: -0.024, -0.007), controlling for secular trends with mothers living 10-20 km away. For the 0-5-km area, this corresponds to a reduction in preterm birth from 7.0% to 5.1%. Subgroup analyses indicated a potentially larger association among non-Hispanic black and Asian mothers than among non-Hispanic white and Hispanic mothers and no differences in educational attainment. Future coal and oil power plant retirements may reduce preterm birth among nearby populations.
燃煤和燃油电厂的退役减少了附近地区的空气污染,但很少有研究利用这些自然实验进行公共卫生研究。我们使用了加利福尼亚州公共卫生部的出生记录和美国能源信息管理局 2001 年至 2011 年的数据,评估了 8 家燃煤和燃油电厂退役与附近早产儿(妊娠周龄<37 周)出生之间的关系。我们使用调整后的线性混合模型进行了差异中的差异分析,该模型包含了 57005 例出生数据,其中 6.3%为早产儿,以比较在距离 8 家电厂 0-5 公里和 5-10 公里范围内居住的母亲中,在电厂退役前后早产儿出生的概率。我们发现,电厂退役与 5 公里范围内(-0.019,95%CI:-0.031,-0.008)和 5-10 公里范围内(-0.015,95%CI:-0.024,-0.007)早产儿出生比例的降低有关,同时控制了距离 10-20 公里的母亲的季节性趋势。对于 0-5 公里的区域,这相当于早产儿的出生比例从 7.0%降至 5.1%。亚组分析表明,在非西班牙裔黑人和亚洲裔母亲中,这种关联可能更大,而非西班牙裔白人和西班牙裔母亲中则没有差异。未来的燃煤和燃油电厂退役可能会降低附近人口的早产儿出生比例。