School for Health and Related Research, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
Sheffield City Trust, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
PLoS One. 2018 May 30;13(5):e0194637. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0194637. eCollection 2018.
We aimed to evaluate the impact of a local sugar sweetened beverages (SSB) health promotion and 20p price increase in leisure centre venues and estimate the impact on consumption.
Monthly cold drinks sales data and attendance at leisure centres across the city of Sheffield were analysed over the period January 2015-July 2017. Interrupted time-series methods were employed to estimate changes in consumption per attendance of SSB and non-SSB cold drinks following the introduction of the SSB policy from August 2016 adjusting for seasonal variation and autocorrelation. SSB price elasticities were estimated with fixed effects log-log models by SSB product type (soda can, soda bottle, soda post mix, energy drinks, juice from concentrate).
We estimated a 31% (95% CI 4%, 59%) reduction in units of SSB sold per attendance in the year since the policy was introduced. We did not observe substitution effects to fruit juice or water but found sales of other artificially sweetened non-SSB products increased by 27% (95% CI 6%, 47%) after the introduction of the tax. Price elasticity analysis identified that a 1% increase in price alongside health promotion leads to a 3.8% (95% CI 3.1% 4.4%) decrease in demand for SSB's. Price elasticity of demand was highest for child friendly and high caffeine energy drinks.
Demand for SSB drinks at leisure centre venues is highly responsive to the policy, particularly for child-friendly and high caffeine energy drinks, compared with other SSB tax policy evaluations. The policy also increased purchases of carbonated non-SSB.
我们旨在评估在休闲中心场所进行的本地含糖饮料(SSB)健康促进和 20 便士提价对消费的影响,并估计对消费的影响。
分析了谢菲尔德市整个城市从 2015 年 1 月至 2017 年 7 月期间每月冷饮销售数据和休闲中心的出勤率。采用中断时间序列方法,根据 2016 年 8 月 SSB 政策实施后的 SSB 和非 SSB 冷饮每次出勤的消费变化,调整季节性变化和自相关。通过 SSB 产品类型(罐装苏打水、瓶装苏打水、苏打水后混合、能量饮料、浓缩果汁)的固定效应对数-对数模型估计 SSB 价格弹性。
我们估计,自政策实施以来,每年 SSB 的销售量减少了 31%(95%CI 4%,59%)。我们没有观察到对果汁或水的替代效应,但发现税收出台后,其他人工加糖的非 SSB 产品的销售额增加了 27%(95%CI 6%,47%)。价格弹性分析表明,在健康促进的基础上,价格上涨 1%,将导致 SSB 需求减少 3.8%(95%CI 3.1%,4.4%)。儿童友好型和高咖啡因能量饮料的 SSB 需求价格弹性最高。
与其他 SSB 税收政策评估相比,休闲中心场所的 SSB 饮料需求对该政策非常敏感,尤其是针对儿童友好型和高咖啡因能量饮料。该政策还增加了碳酸非 SSB 的购买量。