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党派之争和政治广告对亲密家庭关系的影响。

The effect of partisanship and political advertising on close family ties.

机构信息

Anderson School of Management, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.

School of Economic Sciences, Washington State University, Pullman, WA 99164, USA.

出版信息

Science. 2018 Jun 1;360(6392):1020-1024. doi: 10.1126/science.aaq1433. Epub 2018 May 31.

Abstract

Research on growing American political polarization and antipathy primarily studies public institutions and political processes, ignoring private effects, including strained family ties. Using anonymized smartphone-location data and precinct-level voting, we show that Thanksgiving dinners attended by residents from opposing-party precincts were 30 to 50 minutes shorter than same-party dinners. This decline from a mean of 257 minutes survives extensive spatial and demographic controls. Reductions in the duration of Thanksgiving dinner in 2016 tripled for travelers from media markets with heavy political advertising-an effect not observed in 2015-implying a relationship to election-related behavior. Effects appear asymmetric: Although fewer Democratic-precinct residents traveled in 2016 than in 2015, Republican-precinct residents shortened their Thanksgiving dinners by more minutes in response to political differences. Nationwide, 34 million hours of cross-partisan Thanksgiving dinner discourse were lost in 2016 owing to partisan effects.

摘要

研究美国政治极化和敌意的增长主要关注公共机构和政治进程,而忽略了私人影响,包括紧张的家庭关系。利用匿名智能手机位置数据和选区投票数据,我们发现,来自对立选区的居民参加的感恩节晚宴比同一党派的晚宴时间要短 30 到 50 分钟。这种从平均 257 分钟的下降在广泛的空间和人口统计控制下仍然存在。在政治广告较多的媒体市场,2016 年旅行者的感恩节晚宴持续时间减少了两倍,而在 2015 年则没有观察到这种情况,这表明与选举相关的行为存在关联。这种影响似乎是不对称的:尽管 2016 年来自民主党选区的居民旅行人数比 2015 年少,但共和党选区的居民为了应对政治分歧,将他们的感恩节晚宴时间缩短了更多分钟。由于党派影响,2016 年全国有 3400 万个小时的跨党派感恩节晚宴对话流失。

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