Anderson School of Management, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
School of Economic Sciences, Washington State University, Pullman, WA 99164, USA.
Science. 2018 Jun 1;360(6392):1020-1024. doi: 10.1126/science.aaq1433. Epub 2018 May 31.
Research on growing American political polarization and antipathy primarily studies public institutions and political processes, ignoring private effects, including strained family ties. Using anonymized smartphone-location data and precinct-level voting, we show that Thanksgiving dinners attended by residents from opposing-party precincts were 30 to 50 minutes shorter than same-party dinners. This decline from a mean of 257 minutes survives extensive spatial and demographic controls. Reductions in the duration of Thanksgiving dinner in 2016 tripled for travelers from media markets with heavy political advertising-an effect not observed in 2015-implying a relationship to election-related behavior. Effects appear asymmetric: Although fewer Democratic-precinct residents traveled in 2016 than in 2015, Republican-precinct residents shortened their Thanksgiving dinners by more minutes in response to political differences. Nationwide, 34 million hours of cross-partisan Thanksgiving dinner discourse were lost in 2016 owing to partisan effects.
研究美国政治极化和敌意的增长主要关注公共机构和政治进程,而忽略了私人影响,包括紧张的家庭关系。利用匿名智能手机位置数据和选区投票数据,我们发现,来自对立选区的居民参加的感恩节晚宴比同一党派的晚宴时间要短 30 到 50 分钟。这种从平均 257 分钟的下降在广泛的空间和人口统计控制下仍然存在。在政治广告较多的媒体市场,2016 年旅行者的感恩节晚宴持续时间减少了两倍,而在 2015 年则没有观察到这种情况,这表明与选举相关的行为存在关联。这种影响似乎是不对称的:尽管 2016 年来自民主党选区的居民旅行人数比 2015 年少,但共和党选区的居民为了应对政治分歧,将他们的感恩节晚宴时间缩短了更多分钟。由于党派影响,2016 年全国有 3400 万个小时的跨党派感恩节晚宴对话流失。