Philip R. Lee Institute for Health Policy Studies, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.
Nurs Outlook. 2018 Jul-Aug;66(4):394-400. doi: 10.1016/j.outlook.2018.04.012. Epub 2018 May 3.
In 2011, the Institute of Medicine recommended that 80% of RNs have a bachelor's degree or higher by 2020. Progress toward this recommendation has been slow.
This paper presents a model that projects whether the 80% recommendation can be met within a 10-year period and estimates the impact of education changes that might accelerate progress.
A projection model for 2016 to 2026 was created using a "stock-and-flow" approach. Secondary data were extracted from multiple sources for the projections. The model includes the option to enter alternative values of key parameters to estimate the impact of changes.
Based on current patterns of entry-level and RN-to-BSN education, approximately 66% of RNs are projected to have BSN+ education by 2025.
To reach the 80% goal by 2025, changes in the mix of entry-level education and/or an increase in the number of RN-to-BSN graduates will be required.
2011 年，美国医学研究所建议到 2020 年 80%的注册护士（RN）拥有学士或以上学位。但这一建议的进展缓慢。
本文提出了一个模型，预测在 10 年内是否能够达到 80%的建议，并估计可能加速进展的教育变化的影响。
使用“存量-流量”方法创建了 2016 年至 2026 年的预测模型。该模型从多个来源提取了二级数据。该模型还提供了输入关键参数替代值的选项，以估计变化的影响。
基于当前的入门级和注册护士到学士后护理教育模式，预计到 2025 年，约 66%的注册护士将拥有学士后+教育。
要在 2025 年达到 80%的目标，需要改变入门级教育的组合，或者增加注册护士到学士后护理的毕业生人数。
